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Conference League
Referee: J Vergoote
HNK Rijeka
S S S U T
1–4
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 80%
60%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 27%
20%
33%
Average goals
1,4
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Midtjylland – HNK Rijeka 2–0

Match report

HNK Rijeka Midtjylland
1–0 D. Adu Adjei ⚽
A. Orec
4′
Justas Lasickas 🟨
13′
17′
⚽ S. Iheanacho 1–1
31′
🔁 A. Gabriel
↦ M. Erlic
Half-time 1–1
Y. Kabadayi 🔁
↦ N. Jankovic
46′
46′
🔁 S. Johannesen
↦ K. Watjen
48′
🟨 Mads Bech Sørensen
51′
⚽ D. Osorio 1–2
D. Castillo
56′
⚽ M. Jensen 1–3
R. Kristensen
57′
🔁 Cho Gue-Sung
↦ S. Iheanacho
57′
🔁 Franculino
↦ D. Osorio
I. Cubelic 🔁
↦ S. Vignato
64′
J. Puljic 🔁
↦ D. Adu Adjei
64′
Jakov Puljić 🟨
70′
Ante Majstorović 🟨
74′
78′
⚽ Cho Gue-Sung 1–4
S. Johannesen
82′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ P. Billing
A. Gojak 🔁
↦ B. Pavic
83′
G. Grulovic 🔁
↦ T. Fruk
83′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
99 A. Todorovic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
51 A. Husic D
23 J. Lasickas D
26 T. Dantas M
6 B. Pavic M
19 S. Vignato M
10 T. Fruk M
4 N. Jankovic M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (12)
13 I. Vekic
1 V. Kovac
34 M. Devetak
3 M. Zivkovic
14 A. Gojak
8 I. Cubelic
5 A. Barco
21 J. Puljic
7 Y. Kabadayi
11 G. Rukavina
77 A. Juric
15 G. Grulovic

Coach: Matjaz Kek

Midtjylland

4-5-1
1 E. Olafsson G
5 R. Kristensen D
3 M. Jensen D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. B. Sorensen D
11 D. Osorio M
8 P. Billing M
19 P. Bravo M
21 D. Castillo M
29 K. Watjen M
18 S. Iheanacho F
Bench (11)
25 N. Bakker
13 A. Gabriel
15 D. Beni
34 A. Ndiaye
27 S. Johannesen
14 E. Chilufya
10 Cho Gue-Sung
20 V. Byskov
7 Franculino
90 F. Etim
38 J. Emefile

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.