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Conference League
Referee: R Gidzhenov
Larne
T T U T S
0–3
Full-time
Lincoln Red Imps FC
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne Lincoln Red Imps FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11% Possession 89%
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 0
7 Corners 7
0 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Larne 0–2 29. Aug -24 Larne – Lincoln Red Imps FC 3–1 22. Aug -24 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Larne 2–1

Match report

Larne Lincoln Red Imps FC
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 F. Alvarez
↦ A. Coulibaly
C. McKendry 🔁
↦ D. Sloan
69′
M. Gibson 🔁
↦ P. O'Neill
69′
Montel Gibson 🟨
71′
Matthew Lusty 🟨
73′
K. O'Hara 🔁
↦ M. Lusty
77′
J. McEneff 🔁
↦ J. Simpson
77′
79′
🔁 N. Pinto
↦ A. Mula
80′
🟨 Bernardo Lopes
82′
⚽ K. Gomez 0–1
J. Eersteling
84′
⚽ M. Toledano 0–2
Nano
Montel Gibson 🟨
87′
Montel Gibson 🟥
87′
Chris Gallagher 🟨
91′
93′
🟨 Nico Pinto
B. Magee 🔁
↦ R. Doherty
105′
107′
🔁 Joe
↦ G. Torrilla
119′
🟨 Jaylan Hankins
J. Ukek 🔁
↦
120′
120′
⚽ M. Toledano 0–3
123′
🔁 A. Romero Morillo
↦ K. Gomez
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
26 D. Bent M
3 M. Ridley D
4 A. Donnelly D
15 R. Doherty M
6 C. Gallagher M
47 J. Simpson M
25 D. Sloan M
9 P. O'Neill F
30 M. Lusty F
Bench (9)
2 L. Wallace
7 C. McKendry
8 M. Randall
14 B. Magee
16 J. Carney
17 J. Ukek
19 K. O'Hara
22 J. McEneff
45 M. Gibson

Coach: Gary Haveron

Lincoln Red Imps FC

3-5-2
1 Nauzet Santana G
21 Nano M
8 Mandi M
66 J. Eersteling D
9 K. Gomez F
3 C. Rutjens D
6 B. Lopes D
22 G. Torrilla M
17 A. Coulibaly M
44 M. Toledano F
10 A. Mula M
Bench (9)
4 N. Pinto
5 T. Cardozo
7 L. Casciaro
11 A. Romero Morillo
13 J. Hankins
20 E. Britto
23 Joe
27 M. Hamm
32 F. Alvarez

Coach: Juan Bezares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.