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Champions League
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Hapoel Beer Sheva
U T U T S
1–0
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hapoel Beer Sheva FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,5
4,5
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+4,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Hapoel Beer Sheva FK Crvena Zvezda
15′
🟨 Mohammad Abu Fani
1–0 Z. Ahmed ⚽
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Strahinja Eraković
M. Abu Rumi 🔁
↦ I. Zlatanovic
46′
46′
🔁 M. Arnautovic
↦ V. Kostov
46′
🔁 T. Elsnik
↦ M. Ivanic
46′
🔁 M. Cham
↦ M. Abu Fani
Matan Baltaxa 🟨
58′
Matan Baltaxa 🟨
58′
Eliel Peretz 🟨
58′
Matan Baltaxa 🟥
58′
P. Amador 🔁
↦ G. Mizrahi
63′
D. T. Diop 🔁
↦ N. Yehoshua
63′
Itay Rotman 🟨
64′
73′
🔁 A. Katai
↦ O. Bukari
73′
🔁 L. Loizou
↦ Bruno Duarte
80′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
A. Ohana 🔁
↦ J. East
83′
84′
🟨 Nair Tiknizyan
85′
🟨 Muhammed-Cham Saračević
H. Kanaan 🔁
↦ E. Peretz
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva

4-3-3
1 O. Marciano G
2 G. Mizrahi D
4 Miguel Vitor D
12 I. Rotman D
3 M. Baltaxa D
28 N. Yehoshua M
25 Lucas Ventura M
7 E. Peretz M
20 J. East F
66 I. Zlatanovic F
9 Z. Ahmed F
Bench (12)
34 M. Wolff
5 P. Amador
8 H. Kanaan
11 A. C. Ganah
13 O. Davidzada
18 R. Levy
19 A. Ohana
21 Y. Koren
23 I. Hazut
27 Y. Stoyanov
44 D. T. Diop
45 M. Abu Rumi

Coach: Ran Kozuch

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
32 D. Luckassen D
25 S. Erakovic D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
33 R. Krunic M
15 M. Abu Fani M
14 O. Bukari M
22 V. Kostov M
4 M. Ivanic M
17 Bruno Duarte F
Bench (12)
77 I. Gutesa
7 M. Arnautovic
8 K. Balov
9 J. Enem
10 A. Katai
13 M. Veljkovic
21 T. Elsnik
24 N. Stankovic
27 M. Strika
30 F. Tebo Uchenna
70 M. Cham
75 L. Loizou

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.