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Europa League
Referee: Andris Treimanis
Plzen
S S U U U
1–1
Full-time
Porto
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,34 xG 2,14
33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Plzen Porto
-5′
🟨 Stephen Eustaquio
1–0 L. Cerv ⚽
M. Valenta
6′
Merchas Doski 🟨
13′
P. Adu 🔁
↦ C. Kabongo
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Pepê
↦ B. Sainz
48′
ℹ️ Jakub Kiwior
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Matěj Vydra 🟥
49′
56′
🔁 G. Veiga
↦ R. Mora
56′
🔁 F. Moura
↦ A. Costa
M. Havel 🔁
↦ D. Visinsky
60′
70′
🟨 Jan Bednarek
71′
🔁 A. Varela
↦ M. Fernandes
71′
🔁 D. Gul
↦ William Gomes
Prince Kwabena Adu 🟨
72′
74′
🟨 Pablo Rosario
A. Zeljkovic 🔁
↦ T. Ladra
83′
85′
🟨 Jakub Kiwior
90′
⚽ D. Gul 1–1
J. Kiwior
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-1-2
44 F. Wiegele G
14 M. Doski D
5 K. Spacil D
19 C. Souare D
99 A. Memic M
6 L. Cerv M
32 M. Valenta M
7 C. Kabongo M
18 T. Ladra F
9 D. Visinsky F
11 M. Vydra F
Bench (10)
13 M. Tvrdon
15 M. Silhavy
4 J. Chalupa
12 D. Suchy
20 J. Panos
24 M. Havel
33 A. Novak
34 P. Kubin
80 P. Adu
85 A. Zeljkovic

Coach: Martin Hysky

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
20 A. Costa D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
52 M. Fernandes D
8 V. Froholdt M
13 P. Rosario M
86 R. Mora M
7 William Gomes F
9 Samu F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
6 S. Eustaquio
10 G. Veiga
11 Pepê
12 Zaidu
21 D. Prpic
22 A. Varela
27 D. Gul
72 A. Miranda
73 G. Bras
74 F. Moura

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.