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Conference League
Referee: M Matosa
Pafos
T S T U U
4–2
Full-time
Dinamo Tirana
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Dinamo Tirana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
0%
43%
Both score Ø 72%
100%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
29 Free kicks against 22
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Dinamo Tirana – Pafos 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
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U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.