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Champions League
Referee: Rares George Vidican
Larne
U T U S S
0–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Larne FK Crvena Zvezda
20′
🟨 Young-woo Seol
26′
Bruno Duarte 0–1
Sean Graham 🟨
28′
Matthew Lusty 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
K. O'Hara 🔁
↦ M. Lusty
46′
46′
🔁 O. Bukari
↦ L. Loizou
55′
V. Kostov 0–2
O. Bukari
J. Simpson 🔁
↦ D. Sloan
63′
67′
Bruno Duarte 0–3
M. Abu Fani
73′
🔁 J. Enem
↦ Bruno Duarte
73′
🔁 A. Katai
↦ M. Ivanic
73′
🔁 M. Cham
↦ V. Kostov
L. Wallace 🔁
↦ R. Doherty
76′
P. O'Neill 🔁
↦ J. McEneff
76′
81′
🔁 M. Arnautovic
↦ M. Abu Fani
85′
M. Cham 0–4
A. Katai
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
26 D. Bent M
3 M. Ridley D
4 A. Donnelly D
15 R. Doherty M
6 C. Gallagher M
11 S. Graham D
22 J. McEneff M
30 M. Lusty F
25 D. Sloan M
Bench (9)
31 D. Collett
36 D. Graham
2 L. Wallace
7 C. McKendry
9 P. O'Neill
14 B. Magee
19 K. O'Hara
45 M. Gibson
47 J. Simpson

Coach: Gary Haveron

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-3-2-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
25 S. Erakovic D
13 M. Veljkovic D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
75 L. Loizou M
21 T. Elsnik M
15 M. Abu Fani M
22 V. Kostov M
4 M. Ivanic M
17 Bruno Duarte F
Bench (12)
50 S. Radanovic
77 I. Gutesa
7 M. Arnautovic
8 K. Balov
9 J. Enem
10 A. Katai
14 O. Bukari
24 N. Stankovic
27 M. Strika
30 F. Tebo Uchenna
45 S. Gudelj
70 M. Cham

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.