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Pro League

Referee: Kevin van Damme

Club Brugge

T S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Dender

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/10 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,4

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

38%

40%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,39 xG 1,17

67% Possession 33%

19 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Club Brugge 2. · Dender 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	7	2	0	+17	+14.3	23
2	Club Brugge	8	6	1	1	+6	+2.5	19
3	Gent	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.0	18
4	Mechelen	9	4	4	1	+5	-1.5	16
5	Waregem	11	5	1	5	+0	-4.7	16
6	Anderlecht	9	4	3	2	+6	+6.2	15
7	Genk	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.2	12
8	RAAL La Louviere	10	3	3	4	-2	-5.8	12
9	St Truiden	7	3	2	2	+1	+4.7	11
10	Cercle Brugge	10	2	4	4	-1	+1.3	10
11	Charleroi	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.0	10
12	Westerlo	9	2	3	4	-4	-1.3	9
13	Antwerp	7	1	3	3	-3	-3.5	6
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-8	-1.2	5
15	Standard	8	1	2	5	-10	-5.5	5
16	Dender	10	0	2	8	-14	-7.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+7.6	12
2	Gent	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.0	12
3	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
4	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
5	RAAL La Louviere	5	2	2	1	+0	-3.3	8
6	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
7	Genk	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.0	7
8	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.1	7
9	St Truiden	4	2	0	2	-1	+1.1	6
10	Mechelen	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
11	Antwerp	5	1	2	2	-1	-1.9	5
12	Cercle Brugge	6	1	2	3	-2	+0.4	5
13	Westerlo	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.4	4
14	Standard	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.4	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.0	1
16	Dender	4	0	0	4	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
2	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
3	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-2.4	11
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.7	7
5	Gent	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.1	6
6	Waregem	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.9	6
7	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
8	Cercle Brugge	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
9	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
10	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.7	5
11	RAAL La Louviere	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.5	4
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	-6	-1.3	4
13	Charleroi	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.8	3
14	Standard	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.1	3
15	Dender	6	0	2	4	-8	-5.4	2
16	Antwerp	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.