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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Club Brugge
S S U S U
4–1
Full-time
Dender
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Dender
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
60%
30%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,92 xG 0,51
64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 3. · Dender 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 7 2 1 +17 +4.8 23
2 Genk 10 7 1 2 +9 +14.1 22
3 Club Brugge 10 6 3 1 +15 +9.2 21
4 Anderlecht 10 5 4 1 +14 +7.7 19
5 Gent 10 5 2 3 +11 -1.5 17
6 St. Gilloise 10 3 5 2 +3 +5.7 14
7 Mechelen 11 4 2 5 +1 -1.2 14
8 Charleroi 10 4 2 4 +1 +2.3 14
9 Dender 10 3 5 2 +0 -2.2 14
10 Standard 10 4 2 4 -8 -5.8 14
11 St Truiden 12 3 3 6 -14 -4.5 12
12 Westerlo 10 3 2 5 +0 +1.2 11
13 Cercle Brugge 12 3 2 7 -13 -9.4 11
14 Kortrijk 13 3 1 9 -19 -10.0 10
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 1 6 3 -3 +2.2 9
16 Beerschot VA 12 1 4 7 -14 -12.6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -24 Dender – Club Brugge 1–2

Match report

Club Brugge Dender
16′
R. Květ 0–1
A. Scheidler
24′
🔁 D. Hrnčár
↦ K. Fila
1–1 Ferran Jutglà
A. Skov Olsen
24′
2–1 A. Skov Olsen
A. Jashari
33′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Devriendt
↦ M. Verrips
57′
🔁 R. Oratmangoen
↦ B. Goncalves
57′
🔁 B. Nsimba
↦ M. Berte
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ A. Jashari
62′
K. Sabbe 🔁
↦ J. Seys
62′
M. Skóraś 🔁
↦ A. Skov Olsen
75′
C. Talbi 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
76′
80′
🔁 A. Akman
↦ F. Ferraro
R. Vermant 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
88′
3–1 C. Talbi
K. Sabbe
89′
4–1 C. Talbi
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
30 A. Jashari M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (9)
10 H. Vetlesen
64 K. Sabbe
21 M. Skóraś
68 C. Talbi
17 R. Vermant
2 Z. Romero
27 C. Nielsen
41 H. Siquet
29 N. Jackers

Coach: N. Hayen

Dender

5-3-2
34 M. Verrips G
5 K. Fila D
22 G. Ruyssen D
21 K. Cools D
4 B. Goncalves D
3 J. Pupe D
16 R. Květ M
18 N. Rôdes M
88 F. Ferraro M
11 A. Scheidler F
90 M. Berte F
Bench (9)
20 D. Hrnčár
13 J. Devriendt
26 R. Oratmangoen
77 B. Nsimba
19 A. Akman
98 J. Soladio
7 R. M'Barki
23 D. Acquah
10 L. Hens

Coach: V. Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,26
B
10,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.