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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Charleroi
S S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Waregem
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
4,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 32/33 matches
Win Ø 33%
47%
18%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
55%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Waregem 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 27 21 5 1 +46 68
2 St. Gilloise 26 20 3 3 +27 63
3 Antwerp 27 19 4 4 +34 61
4 Gent 27 17 3 7 +34 54
5 Club Brugge 28 16 6 6 +23 54
6 Anderlecht 32 15 6 11 +15 51
7 Charleroi 32 15 5 12 +3 50
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 12 9 13 +7 45
9 St Truiden 33 12 9 12 -3 45
10 Cercle Brugge 27 11 10 6 +8 43
11 Westerlo 26 11 6 9 +6 39
12 Standard 26 11 5 10 +1 38
13 Kortrijk 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Mechelen 33 10 6 17 -19 36
15 Eupen 34 8 7 19 -25 31
16 Waregem 33 6 10 17 -28 28
17 Oostende 33 6 7 20 -32 25
18 Seraing 32 5 4 23 -39 19
19 Seraing United 32 5 4 23 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Waregem
13′
ℹ️ Zinho Gano
VAR: Goal cancelled
27′
A. Ndour 0–1
J. Kayembe 🔁
↦ S. Andreou
33′
38′
🟨 Karol Fila
Half-time 0–1
Stefan Knežević 🟨
55′
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ J. Tchatchoua
63′
D. Heymans 🔁
↦ A. Hosseinzadeh
64′
1–1 V. Bayo
66′
2–1 I. Mbenza
M. Ilaimaharitra
73′
77′
🔁 C. Brüls
↦ A. Ndour
80′
A. Fadera 2–2
C. Brüls
84′
🔁 W. De Buyser
↦ K. Fila
Damien Marcq 🟨
87′
92′
🔁 S. Braem
↦ J. Vossen
Isaac Mbenza 🟨
93′
3–2 D. Marcq
96′
V. Ozornwafor 🔁
↦ V. Bayo
98′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
16 H. Koffi G
21 S. Andreou D
25 D. Marcq D
3 S. Knežević D
38 J. Tchatchoua M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
7 I. Mbenza M
99 A. Hosseinzadeh F
10 Y. Badji F
9 V. Bayo F
Bench (7)
12 J. Kayembe
28 K. Nkuba
18 D. Heymans
66 V. Ozornwafor
17 A. Bongiovanni
39 K. Lokembo
55 M. Delavallée

Coach: F. Mazzù

Waregem

4-2-3-1
38 L. Bostyn G
19 K. Fila D
31 L. Willen D
3 Borja López D
26 N. Dismas D
25 R. Vormer M
6 A. Sissako M
11 A. Ndour M
9 J. Vossen M
7 A. Fadera M
93 Zinho Gano F
Bench (7)
12 C. Brüls
15 W. De Buyser
34 S. Braem
1 S. Bossut
54 A. Harinck
18 M. Tambedou
20 N. Rommens

Coach: F. D'Hollander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
4,18
B
4,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.