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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

St Truiden

U S T T T

2–2

Full-time

Genk

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,5

2,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

This season — Pro League · 28/24 matches

Win Ø 60%

36%

83%

Points per game

1,4

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

39%

71%

Both score Ø 49%

43%

54%

Average goals

2,1

3,4

Scored

1,0

2,6

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	24	20	3	1	+45	63
2	St. Gilloise	23	17	3	3	+24	54
3	Antwerp	22	15	4	3	+24	49
4	Charleroi	29	13	5	11	+2	44
5	Club Brugge	23	12	6	5	+15	42
6	Anderlecht	28	12	6	10	+11	42
7	Gent	22	12	3	7	+16	39
8	Cercle Brugge	24	10	9	5	+8	39
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	10	9	11	+6	39
10	St Truiden	28	10	8	10	-3	38
11	Standard	23	10	4	9	+1	34
12	Westerlo	23	9	6	8	+4	33
13	Mechelen	28	9	6	13	-8	33
14	Kortrijk	30	9	6	15	-16	33
15	Eupen	29	8	5	16	-20	29
16	Waregem	30	6	9	15	-22	27
17	Oostende	30	6	6	18	-29	24
18	Seraing	28	5	4	19	-29	19
19	Seraing United	28	5	4	19	-29	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	12	1	0	+29	37
2	Antwerp	11	10	1	0	+20	31
3	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+12	25
4	Cercle Brugge	12	6	5	1	+11	23
5	Gent	11	7	2	2	+10	23
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	6	5	4	+8	23
7	Mechelen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Club Brugge	11	6	4	1	+13	22
9	Charleroi	14	7	1	6	+4	22
10	Anderlecht	15	6	3	6	+5	21
11	Westerlo	12	5	3	4	+9	18
12	Standard	11	5	1	5	+2	16
13	Oostende	15	5	1	9	-9	16
14	Waregem	15	4	4	7	-10	16
15	Kortrijk	15	4	4	7	-11	16
16	St Truiden	13	4	3	6	-4	15
17	Eupen	15	4	3	8	-8	15
18	Seraing	14	1	3	10	-14	6
19	Seraing United	14	1	3	10	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Genk	11	8	2	1	+16	26
3	St Truiden	15	6	5	4	+1	23
4	Charleroi	15	6	4	5	-2	22
5	Anderlecht	13	6	3	4	+6	21
6	Club Brugge	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Antwerp	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Standard	12	5	3	4	-1	18
9	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-5	17
10	Gent	11	5	1	5	+6	16
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	4	4	7	-2	16
12	Cercle Brugge	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	-5	15
14	Eupen	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Seraing	14	4	1	9	-15	13
16	Seraing United	14	4	1	9	-15	13
17	Waregem	15	2	5	8	-12	11
18	Mechelen	13	3	1	9	-11	10
19	Oostende	15	1	5	9	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.