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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
St Mirren
S T T S U
1–5
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
3,2
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+3,0
This season — Premiership · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 65%
37%
92%
Points per game
1,4
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
48%
77%
Both score Ø 45%
44%
46%
Average goals
2,4
3,8
Scored
1,1
3,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

18% Possession 82%
1 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 6
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 24 1 1 +64 73
2 Rangers 27 21 4 2 +40 67
3 Hearts 27 13 6 8 +11 45
4 Hibernian 27 12 4 11 +4 40
5 Aberdeen 28 12 2 14 -9 38
6 St Mirren 27 10 7 10 -7 37
7 Livingston 27 10 5 12 -14 35
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 28 8 6 14 -6 30
10 Ross County 28 6 6 16 -17 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 27 5 5 17 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jan -23 Celtic – St Mirren 4–0 18. Sep -22 St Mirren – Celtic 2–0 2. Mar -22 Celtic – St Mirren 2–0 22. Dec -21 St Mirren – Celtic 0–0 21. Aug -21 Celtic – St Mirren 6–0

Match report

St Mirren Celtic
Alex Greive ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
5′
1–0 M. O'Hara ⚽
6′
Ryan Strain 🟨
37′
Charles Dunne 🟥
38′
40′
ℹ️ Kyogo Furuhashi
VAR: Penalty cancelled
R. Taylor 🔁
↦ A. Greive
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ D. Maeda
56′
⚽ Jota 1–1
61′
⚽ A. Johnston 1–2
A. Mooy
T. Watt 🔁
↦ R. Strain
62′
J. Shaughnessy 🔁
↦ T. Small
62′
66′
🔁 M. O'Riley
↦ R. Hatate
66′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
70′
⚽ L. Abada 1–3
A. Mooy
71′
🔁 S. Hakšabanović
↦ Jota
72′
⚽ M. O'Riley 1–4
L. Abada
F. Taylor 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
74′
74′
🔁 T. Iwata
↦ A. Mooy
S. Tanser 🔁
↦ C. Main
75′
80′
ℹ️ Hyun-gyu Oh
VAR: Penalty confirmed
81′
⚽ Oh Hyeon-Gyu 1–5
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
18 C. Dunne D
23 R. Strain M
11 G. Kiltie M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
16 T. Small M
10 C. Main F
21 A. Greive
Bench (9)
5 R. Taylor
9 T. Watt
4 J. Shaughnessy
30 F. Taylor
3 S. Tanser
8 R. Flynn
24 L. Jamieson
27 P. Urminský
25 K. Offord

Coach: S. Robinson

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
13 A. Mooy M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
11 L. Abada
33 M. O'Riley
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
9 S. Hakšabanović
24 T. Iwata
14 D. Turnbull
29 S. Bain
56 A. Ralston
18 Y. Kobayashi

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,52
🔒
U
6,03
🔒
B ✓
1,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,55
🔒
U2,5
2,36
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.