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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Antwerp
U T S U S
5–0
Full-time
Mechelen
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 22/28 matches
Win Ø 50%
68%
32%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 47%
36%
57%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 3. · Mechelen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 25 20 4 1 +45 64
2 St. Gilloise 23 17 3 3 +24 54
3 Antwerp 22 15 4 3 +24 49
4 Charleroi 29 13 5 11 +2 44
5 Club Brugge 23 12 6 5 +15 42
6 Anderlecht 28 12 6 10 +11 42
7 Gent 22 12 3 7 +16 39
8 Cercle Brugge 24 10 9 5 +8 39
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 10 9 11 +6 39
10 St Truiden 29 10 9 10 -3 39
11 Standard 23 10 4 9 +1 34
12 Westerlo 23 9 6 8 +4 33
13 Mechelen 28 9 6 13 -8 33
14 Kortrijk 30 9 6 15 -16 33
15 Eupen 29 8 5 16 -20 29
16 Waregem 30 6 9 15 -22 27
17 Oostende 30 6 6 18 -29 24
18 Seraing 28 5 4 19 -29 19
19 Seraing United 28 5 4 19 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Mechelen
1–0 J. Ekkelenkamp
M. Keita
15′
25′
🟨 Lucas Bijker
2–0 J. Ekkelenkamp
32′
3–0 G. Kerk
42′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
46′
🔁 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
↦ L. Bijker
Gyrano Kerk ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
47′
William Pacho 🟨
55′
C. Scott 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
61′
64′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
4–0 G. Kerk
V. Janssen
69′
72′
🟨 David Bates
K. Corbanie 🔁
↦ J. Bataille
72′
M. Balikwisha 🔁
↦ A. Muja
72′
81′
🔁 E. Agyei
↦ N. Storm
5–0 M. Balikwisha
G. Kerk
82′
G. Vandeplas 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
87′
M. Smits 🔁
↦ A. Vermeeren
87′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
51 W. Pacho D
22 G. Ávila D
27 M. Keita M
48 A. Vermeeren M
7 G. Kerk M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
11 A. Muja M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
32 C. Scott
52 K. Corbanie
10 M. Balikwisha
79 G. Vandeplas
46 M. Smits
44 D. Wyns
26 O. De Wolf

Coach: M. van Bommel

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
6 J. Van Hecke D
27 D. Bates D
4 D. Wouters D
3 L. Bijker D
30 J. Vanlerberghe M
14 D. Lavalée M
7 G. Hairemans M
19 K. Mrabti M
11 N. Storm M
22 Alessio Da Cruz F
Bench (7)
9 J. Ngoy
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
10 Y. Malede
23 E. Agyei
2 I. Swers
15 Y. Thoelen
34 N. Mukau

Coach: S. Defour

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,29
B
5,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.