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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Legnica
U T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legnica Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
23%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
18 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legnica 18. · Jagiellonia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 22 16 4 2 +27 52
2 Legia 23 13 7 3 +9 46
3 Lech Poznan 23 11 6 6 +10 39
4 Widzew Lodz 23 10 6 7 +4 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 22 10 6 6 +3 36
6 Warta Poznan 22 9 6 7 +6 33
7 Cracovia 22 9 5 8 +7 32
8 Radomiak Radom 22 9 5 8 +1 32
9 Stal Mielec 23 8 5 10 -2 29
10 Wisla Plock 22 8 4 10 +0 28
11 Slask Wroclaw 22 7 7 8 -6 28
12 Piast Gliwice 23 7 5 11 -1 26
13 Zaglebie 22 7 5 10 -12 26
14 Gornik Zabrze 23 6 7 10 -6 25
15 Jagiellonia 22 5 9 8 +0 24
16 Korona Kielce 23 6 5 12 -11 23
17 Lechia Gdansk 23 6 4 13 -19 22
18 Legnica 22 4 6 12 -10 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Aug -22 Jagiellonia – Legnica 2–1

Match report

Legnica Jagiellonia
24′
Nené 0–1
M. Sáček
1–1 N. Mijušković
D. Velkovski
29′
41′
🟨 Dušan Stojinović
Levent Gülen 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
O. Kobacki 🔁
↦ Chuca
46′
48′
🟨 Nené
Á. Henríquez 🔁
↦ L. Narsingh
59′
69′
🟨 Israel Puerto
74′
🔁 M. Matysik
↦ D. Stojinović
74′
🔁 T. Kupisz
↦ T. Přikryl
76′
🟨 Michal Sáček
M. Kostka 🔁
↦ O. Kobacki
78′
Ángelo Henríquez 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 A. Nguiamba
↦ B. Wdowik
D. Tront 🔁
↦ M. Dominguez
90′
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
90′
92′
🔁 M. Pazdan
↦ Israel Puerto
93′
🔁 Juan Cámara
↦ Marc Gual
Dawid Drachal 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Legnica

3-4-3
40 S. Kapino G
5 L. Gülen D
25 N. Mijušković D
23 J. Carolina D
21 G. Masouras M
10 M. Dominguez M
14 K. Drygas M
19 D. Velkovski M
9 L. Narsingh F
11 Koldo Obieta F
8 Chuca F
Bench (9)
79 O. Kobacki
7 Á. Henríquez
17 M. Kostka
20 D. Tront
16 D. Drachal
15 S. Naveda
27 A. Niewulis
6 S. Matuszek
31 M. Abramowicz

Coach: G. Mokry

Jagiellonia

4-4-2
1 Z. Alomerović G
3 D. Stojinović D
4 Israel Puerto D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
5 B. Nastić D
14 T. Přikryl M
8 Nené M
16 M. Sáček M
27 B. Wdowik M
28 Marc Gual F
11 Jesús Imaz F
Bench (9)
32 M. Matysik
18 T. Kupisz
39 A. Nguiamba
7 Juan Cámara
2 M. Pazdan
36 J. Lewicki
9 B. Bida
50 S. Abramowicz
34 M. Bortniczuk

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.