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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Charleroi
T U S S U
1–0
Full-time
St Truiden
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
41%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
63%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · St Truiden 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 24 20 3 1 +45 63
2 St. Gilloise 23 17 3 3 +24 54
3 Antwerp 22 15 4 3 +24 49
4 Club Brugge 22 12 6 4 +18 42
5 Anderlecht 28 12 6 10 +11 42
6 Gent 22 12 3 7 +16 39
7 Charleroi 27 11 5 11 +0 38
8 St Truiden 27 10 8 9 -2 38
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 29 9 9 11 +4 36
10 Standard 23 10 4 9 +1 34
11 Westerlo 23 9 6 8 +4 33
12 Cercle Brugge 22 8 9 5 +4 33
13 Mechelen 28 9 6 13 -8 33
14 Kortrijk 29 9 6 14 -15 33
15 Eupen 29 8 5 16 -20 29
16 Waregem 29 6 9 14 -20 27
17 Oostende 29 5 6 18 -32 21
18 Seraing 27 5 4 18 -27 19
19 Seraing United 27 5 4 18 -27 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi St Truiden
21′
🟨 Frank Boya
Half-time 0–0
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ J. Bager
46′
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ J. Kayembe
65′
1–0 A. Zorgane
69′
71′
🔁 R. Reitz
↦ F. Boya
76′
🔁 D. Hayashi
↦ G. Bruno
76′
🔁 W. Janssens
↦ E. Bocat
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ N. Štulić
77′
79′
🟨 Toni Leistner
Adem Zorgane ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
83′
84′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ R. Bauer
84′
🔁 F. Kaya
↦ T. Hara
R. Morioka 🔁
↦ A. Zorgane
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
16 H. Koffi G
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
3 S. Knežević D
4 J. Van Cleemput M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
12 J. Kayembe M
18 D. Heymans F
19 N. Štulić F
9 V. Bayo F
Bench (7)
28 K. Nkuba
7 I. Mbenza
10 Y. Badji
44 R. Morioka
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
32 M. Boukamir
1 P. Patron

Coach: F. Mazzù

St Truiden

3-4-1-2
21 D. Schmidt G
16 M. Smets D
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
4 D. Hashioka M
27 F. Boya M
6 M. Konaté M
77 E. Bocat M
30 S. Okazaki F
9 T. Hara F
91 G. Bruno F
Bench (7)
13 R. Reitz
8 D. Hayashi
22 W. Janssens
7 A. Koita
11 F. Kaya
19 S. Van Dessel
12 J. Coppens

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,42
B
3,56
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.