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Svenska Cupen
Referee: M Al Hakim
Kalmar
U T S S S
4–1
Full-time
Helsingborg
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Helsingborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
2,7
4,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kalmar 7. · Helsingborg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Djurgarden 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Mjallby 4 4 0 0 +5 12
4 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +12 9
5 Sirius 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Hammarby 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Kalmar 3 3 0 0 +6 9
8 Halmstad 4 3 0 1 +5 9
9 Degerfors 3 3 0 0 +5 9
10 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +3 9
11 GAIS 4 3 0 1 +3 9
12 Trollhättan 5 3 0 2 -2 9
13 AIK 3 2 1 0 +5 7
14 Vasteras SK 3 2 1 0 +4 7
15 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +3 7
16 Helsingborg 3 2 0 1 +9 6
17 Trelleborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
18 Goteborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Varberg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
20 Dalkurd FF 4 2 0 2 +1 6
21 IK brage 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 IFK Luleå 4 2 0 2 -1 6
23 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 -3 6
24 Oskarshamns AIK 5 2 0 3 -4 6
25 Onsala 4 2 0 2 -5 6
26 Sundsvall 3 1 1 1 +1 4
27 Utsikten 3 1 1 1 +0 4
28 Norrby IF 3 1 1 1 -2 4
29 Västra Frölunda 2 1 0 1 +5 3
30 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 +4 3
31 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +3 3
32 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Österlen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Vasalund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Lund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Brommapojkarna 4 1 0 3 -1 3
43 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Skövde AIK 3 1 0 2 -1 3
47 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Ljungskile SK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Torns 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Enköping 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Ostersunds FK 3 1 0 2 -3 3
54 Brålanda 2 1 0 1 -5 3
55 Jonkopings Sodra 4 1 0 3 -5 3
56 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Haninge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Täby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Sleipner 2 0 1 1 -2 1
62 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Oster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalmar Helsingborg
1–0 M. Rajovic
26′
27′
🟨 C. Widell
33′
🟨 A. Hellborg
2–0 J. Karlsson
39′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Rajovic
54′
59′
🔁 A. Kabashi
↦ W. Loeper
59′
🔁 Amin Al Hamawi
↦ Amar Muhsin
59′
🔁 O. Stojanovic Fredin
↦ R. Jönsson
59′
🔁 V. Blixt
↦ P. Rejnhold
68′
🔁 S. Almadjed
↦ F. Holst
N. Shamoun 🔁
↦ N. Girmai Netabay
69′
Romário 🔁
↦ R. Gojani
69′
4–0 M. Rajovic
83′
I. Bjerkebo 🔁
↦ M. Rajovic
85′
S. Ylätupa 🔁
↦ S. Skrabb
85′
86′
Amin Al Hamawi 4–1
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kalmar

Ricardo Friedrich
L. Sætra
R. Sjöstedt
D. Ólafsson
A. Lindahl
R. Gojani
N. Girmai Netabay
C. Gustafsson
J. Karlsson
S. Skrabb
M. Rajovic
Bench (7)
N. Shamoun
Romário
I. Bjerkebo
S. Ylätupa
E. Olsson
J. Kindberg
K. Jensen

Coach: H. Jensen

Helsingborg

K. Joelsson
A. Suljic
P. Rejnhold
C. Widell
F. Holst
25 A. Hellborg
S. Bengtsson
R. Jönsson
W. Loeper
Amar Muhsin
E. Ring
Bench (7)
A. Kabashi
Amin Al Hamawi
O. Stojanovic Fredin
V. Blixt
S. Almadjed
E. Hellman
N. Arvidsson

Coach: M. Lindström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.