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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
St Truiden
T T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Genk
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 47%
43%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
43%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Genk 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 8 5 1 2 -2 16
2 Oostende 9 5 0 4 -3 15
3 Eupen 9 4 2 3 +4 14
4 Club Brugge 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Anderlecht 6 4 1 1 +11 13
6 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +8 13
7 Kortrijk 8 4 1 3 +3 13
8 Genk 6 3 2 1 +5 11
9 Charleroi 7 2 4 1 +5 10
10 St Truiden 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Seraing 7 3 0 4 -4 9
13 Seraing United 7 3 0 4 -4 9
14 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 +2 8
15 Cercle Brugge 9 2 2 5 -2 8
16 Waregem 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 1 4 3 -8 7
18 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
19 Beerschot VA 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Genk
Steve De Ridder 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Y. Suzuki
D. Hashioka
48′
57′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
C. Brüls 🔁
↦ S. De Ridder
58′
60′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ I. Ugbo
60′
🔁 B. Heynen
↦ P. Hrošovský
61′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ L. Oyen
73′
J. Paintsil 1–1
Á. Preciado
T. Hara 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
75′
Mory Konate 🟨
80′
83′
P. Onuachu 1–2
J. Ito
T. Ito 🔁
↦ C. Durkin
84′
88′
🔁 J. Lucumí
↦ B. Toma
88′
🔁 D. Muñoz
↦ Á. Preciado
Daiki Hashioka 🟨
90′
Taichi Hara 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-1-4-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
37 T. Leistner D
27 D. Lavalée D
13 L. Cacace M
4 D. Hashioka M
16 S. De Ridder M
32 C. Durkin M
6 M. Konaté M
9 Y. Suzuki F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
44 C. Brüls
18 T. Hara
23 T. Ito
22 W. Janssens
39 Jonathan Buatu
35 W. Vanmarsenille
2 K. Matsubara

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
77 Á. Preciado D
5 G. Arteaga D
17 P. Hrošovský M
11 M. Trésor M
14 B. Toma M
24 L. Oyen M
21 I. Ugbo F
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
18 P. Onuachu
8 B. Heynen
28 J. Paintsil
33 J. Lucumí
23 D. Muñoz
40 T. Leysen
35 A. Németh

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,87
U
3,78
B ✓
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.