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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Waalwijk
S U T S S
0–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
35%
61%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
65%
70%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,6
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 7. · PSV Eindhoven 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 24 16 7 1 +32 55
2 AZ Alkmaar 24 15 5 4 +22 50
3 Ajax 23 14 7 2 +42 49
4 PSV Eindhoven 23 14 4 5 +32 46
5 Twente 21 11 6 4 +19 39
6 Sparta Rotterdam 21 11 6 4 +15 39
7 Waalwijk 23 8 8 7 +3 32
8 Utrecht 22 8 7 7 -3 31
9 Nijmegen 23 6 12 5 +8 30
10 For Sittard 24 8 5 11 -10 29
11 Heerenveen 22 7 6 9 -6 27
12 Go Ahead Eagles 23 6 8 9 -6 26
13 Vitesse 24 5 8 11 -14 23
14 Volendam 24 6 5 13 -25 23
15 Excelsior 24 6 2 16 -37 20
16 FC Emmen 24 3 9 12 -22 18
17 Groningen 24 4 5 15 -24 17
18 Cambuur 23 3 4 16 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk PSV Eindhoven
35′
J. Bakayoko 0–1
J. Veerman
Dario Van Den Buijs 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
56′
🔁 A. El Ghazi
↦ L. de Jong
64′
🔁 É. Gutiérrez
↦ J. Bakayoko
F. Jozefzoon 🔁
↦ D. Van den Buijs
66′
Julen Lobete 🔁
↦ P. Clement
66′
Y. Oukili 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
66′
70′
🟨 Fábio Silva
72′
🟨 Patrick van Aanholt
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ T. Lutonda
80′
Jurien Gaari 🟨
82′
85′
🟨 Anwar El Ghazi
M. Biereth 🔁
↦ V. Anita
88′
88′
🔁 I. Saibari
↦ J. Veerman
91′
🟨 Ibrahim Sangaré
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Waalwijk

3-5-2
1 E. Vaessen G
23 J. Gaari D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
15 L. Nieuwpoort D
2 J. Lelieveld M
11 I. Bel Hassani M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
5 T. Lutonda M
29 M. Kramer F
20 M. Seuntjens F
Bench (12)
10 F. Jozefzoon
7 Julen Lobete
33 Y. Oukili
19 Z. Bakkali
9 M. Biereth
22 S. Bakari
13 M. Spenkelink
12 H. Mulder
21 Joel Pereira
8 P. Vroegh
35 K. Felida
34 L. Wouters

Coach: J. Oosting

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
22 J. Branthwaite D
30 P. van Aanholt D
7 X. Simons M
23 J. Veerman M
6 I. Sangaré M
27 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
10 Fábio Silva F
Bench (9)
21 A. El Ghazi
15 É. Gutiérrez
28 I. Saibari
3 J. Teze
18 O. Boscagli
4 A. Obispo
37 R. Ledezma
61 N. Schiks
24 B. Waterman

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,33
U
4,88
B ✓
1,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.