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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

St Truiden

T S U T U

1–0

Full-time

Kortrijk

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

42%

64%

Both score Ø 55%

46%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

6 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 7. · Kortrijk 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	21	18	2	1	+41	56
2	St. Gilloise	20	16	3	1	+24	51
3	Antwerp	20	14	3	3	+22	45
4	Club Brugge	20	11	5	4	+16	38
5	Anderlecht	25	11	4	10	+9	37
6	Gent	19	11	3	5	+17	36
7	St Truiden	24	9	8	7	+0	35
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	9	7	10	+6	34
9	Cercle Brugge	19	8	6	5	+4	30
10	Standard	20	9	3	8	+1	30
11	Charleroi	23	9	3	11	-6	30
12	Kortrijk	25	8	4	13	-16	28
13	Westerlo	21	7	6	8	+1	27
14	Mechelen	23	7	4	12	-11	25
15	Eupen	26	7	4	15	-19	25
16	Waregem	24	6	5	13	-16	23
17	Oostende	26	5	4	17	-29	19
18	Seraing	24	5	3	16	-22	18
19	Seraing United	24	5	3	16	-22	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	12	11	1	0	+26	34
2	Antwerp	10	9	1	0	+18	28
3	St. Gilloise	8	7	1	0	+10	22
4	Mechelen	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Gent	9	6	2	1	+9	20
6	Club Brugge	10	5	4	1	+11	19
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	5	3	4	+6	18
8	Anderlecht	13	5	2	6	+3	17
9	Cercle Brugge	9	4	4	1	+7	16
10	Standard	10	5	1	4	+4	16
11	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	+7	15
12	Kortrijk	13	4	3	6	-10	15
13	Waregem	13	4	2	7	-10	14
14	Charleroi	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	St Truiden	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Oostende	13	4	0	9	-12	12
17	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-9	11
18	Seraing	12	1	2	9	-12	5
19	Seraing United	12	1	2	9	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	St Truiden	13	6	5	2	+4	23
3	Genk	9	7	1	1	+15	22
4	Anderlecht	12	6	2	4	+6	20
5	Club Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	19
6	Antwerp	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Charleroi	12	5	2	5	-3	17
8	Gent	10	5	1	4	+8	16
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	4	4	6	+0	16
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Cercle Brugge	10	4	2	4	-3	14
12	Eupen	13	4	2	7	-10	14
13	Kortrijk	12	4	1	7	-6	13
14	Seraing	12	4	1	7	-10	13
15	Seraing United	12	4	1	7	-10	13
16	Westerlo	10	3	3	4	-6	12
17	Waregem	11	2	3	6	-6	9
18	Oostende	13	1	4	8	-17	7
19	Mechelen	10	1	1	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.