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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Malaga
U T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Santander
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 23%
17%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
31%
28%
Both score Ø 43%
48%
38%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
20 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 20. · Santander 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 30 15 12 3 +20 57
2 Eibar 30 16 8 6 +10 56
3 Granada 30 16 6 8 +19 54
4 Levante 30 14 12 4 +13 54
5 Alaves 29 15 8 6 +14 53
6 Albacete 30 13 11 6 +7 50
7 Burgos 30 11 12 7 +6 45
8 Cartagena 29 11 8 10 +3 41
9 Huesca 30 9 13 8 +2 40
10 Leganes 30 10 10 10 +1 40
11 Mirandes 30 9 10 11 -3 37
12 Tenerife 30 9 10 11 -3 37
13 Villarreal B 29 10 7 12 -6 37
14 Andorra 30 10 6 14 +1 36
15 Sp Gijon 30 8 12 10 -3 36
16 Oviedo 30 9 8 13 -6 35
17 Zaragoza 29 8 10 11 -6 34
18 Santander 29 8 9 12 -4 33
19 Ponferradina 29 6 11 12 -11 29
20 Malaga 29 5 10 14 -10 25
21 Ibiza 30 5 8 17 -23 23
22 Lugo 29 5 7 17 -21 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Santander
31′
🟨 Rubén
Half-time 0–0
Genaro 🟥
46′
47′
🟨 Juergen Elitim
Juande Rivas 🔁
↦ E. Burgos
60′
A. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ Luis Muñoz
60′
67′
Iñigo Vicente 0–1
R. Baturina
68′
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
Fran Sol 🔁
↦ Jonás Ramalho
71′
74′
🔁 Matheus Aiás
↦ R. Baturina
74′
🔁 Fausto Tienza
↦ J. Elitim
81′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ Iñigo Vicente
85′
🟨 Aritz Aldasoro
A. Appiah 🔁
↦ L. Junior
89′
Loren Zúñiga 🔁
↦ Delmás
89′
90′
🔁 Arturo Molina
↦ Jorge Pombo
90′
🔁 Pol Moreno
↦ Jordi Mboula
Francisco Villalba 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
13 Rubén Yáñez G
17 Delmás D
22 Jonás Ramalho D
20 E. Burgos D
39 Cristian Gutiérrez D
7 L. Junior M
16 Genaro Rodríguez M
23 Alberto Escassi M
21 Fran Villalba M
24 Rubén Castro F
8 Luis Muñoz F
Bench (12)
5 Juande Rivas
18 A. N'Diaye
9 Fran Sol
2 A. Appiah
29 Loren Zúñiga
19 Jozabed
3 Javi Jiménez
1 Manolo Reina
28 I. Fomba
11 Álex Gallar
26 Alejandro Calvo
6 Ramón Enríquez

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
23 Dani Fernández D
16 Germán Sánchez D
15 Rubén González D
18 Saúl García D
20 J. Elitim M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
14 Jordi Mboula M
24 Jorge Pombo M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
11 R. Baturina F
Bench (12)
19 Matheus Aiás
8 Fausto Tienza
25 Marco Sangalli
22 Arturo Molina
4 Pol Moreno
17 Unai Medina
41 Yeray Cabanzón
13 Jokin Ezkieta
29 Peque Fernández
12 S. Gassama
2 Álvaro Mantilla
40 Mario García

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U
2,95
B ✓
3,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.