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Pro League

Referee: C Dierick

Genk

T S T S U

0–1

Full-time

St Truiden

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 25/32 matches

Win Ø 43%

48%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

60%

47%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 11. · St Truiden 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	27	21	3	3	+47	66
2	Anderlecht	27	17	8	2	+44	59
3	Club Brugge	27	18	5	4	+31	59
4	Antwerp	27	17	4	6	+20	55
5	Gent	26	13	7	6	+18	46
6	Charleroi	27	13	7	7	+10	46
7	Cercle Brugge	33	13	7	13	+9	46
8	Kortrijk	33	11	10	12	+2	43
9	Mechelen	27	13	4	10	+0	43
10	St Truiden	32	12	6	14	-5	42
11	Genk	25	12	5	8	+19	41
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	32	10	10	12	-7	40
13	Standard	31	9	9	13	-13	36
14	Waregem	33	9	8	16	-24	35
15	Oostende	32	10	5	17	-28	35
16	Eupen	33	8	8	17	-18	32
17	Seraing	30	7	2	21	-37	23
18	Seraing United	30	7	2	21	-37	23
19	Beerschot VA	32	5	4	23	-31	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	14	9	4	1	+22	31
2	St. Gilloise	13	9	2	2	+16	29
3	Mechelen	14	9	2	3	+12	29
4	Club Brugge	13	8	4	1	+14	28
5	Genk	13	8	3	2	+18	27
6	Gent	13	8	3	2	+17	27
7	Antwerp	13	8	2	3	+11	26
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	7	4	6	-1	25
9	Cercle Brugge	17	7	3	7	+5	24
10	Kortrijk	16	6	4	6	+3	22
11	Waregem	17	6	4	7	-6	22
12	St Truiden	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Charleroi	13	5	4	4	+2	19
14	Seraing	15	5	2	8	-12	17
15	Seraing United	15	5	2	8	-12	17
16	Oostende	16	5	2	9	-18	17
17	Beerschot VA	16	5	1	10	-10	16
18	Eupen	16	4	3	9	-10	15
19	Standard	15	3	5	7	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	12	1	1	+31	37
2	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+17	31
3	Antwerp	14	9	2	3	+9	29
4	Anderlecht	13	8	4	1	+22	28
5	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+8	27
6	Cercle Brugge	16	6	4	6	+4	22
7	Standard	16	6	4	6	-5	22
8	Kortrijk	17	5	6	6	-1	21
9	St Truiden	16	6	3	7	-6	21
10	Gent	13	5	4	4	+1	19
11	Oostende	16	5	3	8	-10	18
12	Eupen	17	4	5	8	-8	17
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Genk	12	4	2	6	+1	14
15	Mechelen	13	4	2	7	-12	14
16	Waregem	16	3	4	9	-18	13
17	Seraing	15	2	0	13	-25	6
18	Seraing United	15	2	0	13	-25	6
19	Beerschot VA	16	0	3	13	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.