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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Gil Vicente
T U S U S
2–0
Full-time
Maritimo
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
32%
18%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
55%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 12. · Maritimo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 23 20 2 1 +45 62
2 Porto 23 17 3 3 +37 54
3 Sp Braga 22 16 1 5 +26 49
4 Sp Lisbon 23 15 2 6 +23 47
5 Guimaraes 22 11 4 7 +0 37
6 Arouca 23 9 7 7 -5 34
7 Casa Pia 22 9 5 8 -4 32
8 Boavista 23 8 6 9 -8 30
9 Vizela 23 8 5 10 +3 29
10 Rio Ave 22 7 6 9 -4 27
11 Famalicao 23 8 3 12 -9 27
12 Gil Vicente 22 7 5 10 -6 26
13 Chaves 23 6 8 9 -9 26
14 Portimonense 23 8 2 13 -11 26
15 Estoril 23 6 4 13 -15 22
16 Maritimo 22 4 4 14 -23 16
17 Santa Clara 22 3 6 13 -16 15
18 Pacos Ferreira 22 3 3 16 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Maritimo
1–0 Pedro Tiba
Fran Navarro
23′
Tomás Araújo 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–0
Rúben Fernandes 🟨
58′
62′
🟨 Brayan Riascos
65′
🟨 Val
Marlon 🔁
↦ J. Boselli
65′
Adrián Marín 🟨
66′
71′
🔁 Léo Pereira
↦ B. Riascos
71′
🔁 P. Liza
↦ João Afonso
G. Aburjania 🔁
↦ Pedro Tiba
72′
B. Aouacheria 🔁
↦ Murilo
72′
79′
🔁 S. Beltrame
↦ Val Soares
79′
🔁 Rafael Brito
↦ Bruno Xadas
Zé Carlos 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
81′
2–0 Tomás Araújo
Carraça
82′
87′
🟨 André Vidigal
92′
🔁 Félix Correia
↦ Cláudio Winck
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
42 Andrew G
15 Carraça D
72 Tomás Araújo D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
19 Adrián Marín D
25 Pedro Tiba M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
77 Murilo M
10 K. Fujimoto M
20 J. Boselli M
9 Fran Navarro F
Bench (9)
11 Marlon
8 G. Aburjania
7 B. Aouacheria
2 Zé Carlos
4 Manuel Lopes
12 Brian Araújo
17 Kevin Villodres
13 Gabriel Pereira
14 R. Wilson

Coach: Daniel Sousa

Maritimo

4-2-3-1
31 Marcelo Carné G
2 Cláudio Winck D
5 Zainadine Júnior D
15 Renê Santos D
94 Vítor Costa D
21 João Afonso M
8 Val Soares M
29 B. Riascos M
23 Bruno Xadas M
7 André Vidigal M
9 Pablo Moreno F
Bench (9)
38 Léo Pereira
36 P. Liza
10 S. Beltrame
6 Rafael Brito
17 Félix Correia
12 Edgar Costa
27 Paulinho
3 M. Mosquera
30 G. Makaridze

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,54
B
4,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.