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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Gent
T T S U S
2–3
Full-time
Genk
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 72%
58%
86%
Points per game
1,9
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 47%
42%
52%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,6
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 7. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 21 18 2 1 +41 56
2 St. Gilloise 20 16 3 1 +24 51
3 Antwerp 20 14 3 3 +22 45
4 Club Brugge 20 11 5 4 +16 38
5 St Truiden 25 10 8 7 +1 38
6 Anderlecht 25 11 4 10 +9 37
7 Gent 19 11 3 5 +17 36
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 9 7 10 +6 34
9 Charleroi 24 9 4 11 -6 31
10 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
11 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
12 Kortrijk 26 8 4 14 -17 28
13 Westerlo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
14 Mechelen 24 7 5 12 -11 26
15 Eupen 26 7 4 15 -19 25
16 Waregem 24 6 5 13 -16 23
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -29 19
18 Seraing 24 5 3 16 -22 18
19 Seraing United 24 5 3 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Genk
1–0 Hong Hyun-Seok
H. Cuypers
9′
23′
J. Paintsil 1–1
P. Hrošovský
Half-time 1–1
Julien De Sart 🟨
64′
64′
🔁 Y. Sor
↦ B. El Khannouss
65′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ M. Samatta
67′
Y. Sor 1–2
M. Trésor
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
68′
J. Hauge 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
79′
D. Lemajić 🔁
↦ S. Kums
79′
84′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ M. Trésor
84′
🔁 A. Preciado
↦ J. Paintsil
86′
T. Arokodare 1–3
N. Castro
2–3 L. Depoitre
88′
92′
🟨 Tolu Arokodare
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
1 P. Nardi G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
4 K. Piątkowski M
13 J. De Sart M
24 S. Kums M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
14 A. Castro-Montes M
19 M. Fofana F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
29 L. Depoitre
10 J. Hauge
9 D. Lemajić
22 S. Marreh
26 L. Fortin
31 B. Godeau
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
7 M. Samatta F
Bench (7)
14 Y. Sor
99 T. Arokodare
10 N. Castro
77 A. Preciado
40 T. Leysen
4 A. Ouattara
19 A. Ait El Hadj

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U
3,49
B ✓
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.