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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
61%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7. · St Truiden 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 16 1 1 +33 49
2 St. Gilloise 19 15 3 1 +23 48
3 Antwerp 19 14 2 3 +22 44
4 Gent 19 11 3 5 +17 36
5 Club Brugge 19 10 5 4 +15 35
6 St Truiden 23 9 7 7 +0 34
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 9 6 8 +8 33
8 Anderlecht 23 10 3 10 +7 33
9 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
10 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
11 Charleroi 22 9 3 10 -5 30
12 Kortrijk 24 8 3 13 -16 27
13 Westerlo 20 7 5 8 +1 26
14 Mechelen 23 7 4 12 -11 25
15 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -15 23
16 Eupen 24 7 2 15 -19 23
17 Oostende 24 5 3 16 -27 18
18 Seraing 22 4 3 15 -19 15
19 Seraing United 22 4 3 15 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden
7′
🟨 Gianni Bruno
9′
D. Hayashi 0–1
D. Hashioka
33′
🟨 Daichi Hayashi
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 E. Bocat
↦ A. Koita
1–1 J. Þorsteinsson
53′
S. Kiyine 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
68′
Mario González 🔁
↦ N. Nsingi
68′
71′
🔁 T. Hara
↦ D. Hayashi
81′
🔁 S. Van Dessel
↦ G. Bruno
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ D. Ouédraogo
84′
89′
🟨 Wolke Janssens
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U ✓
3,38
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.