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Svenska Cupen

Referee: A Johansson

IK brage

S T S

5–0

Full-time

Norrby IF

S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IK brage Norrby IF

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match IK brage 20. · Norrby IF 29. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Hacken	4	4	0	0	+12	12
3	Djurgarden	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Kalmar	4	4	0	0	+9	12
5	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+5	12
6	GAIS	5	4	0	1	+5	12
7	Norrkoping	4	3	1	0	+7	10
8	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+8	9
9	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
10	Halmstad	4	3	0	1	+5	9
11	Trelleborg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	Degerfors	4	3	0	1	+4	9
13	Orebro SK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
14	Trollhättan	5	3	0	2	-2	9
15	AIK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
16	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
17	Helsingborg	4	2	0	2	+6	6
18	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Dalkurd FF	4	2	0	2	+1	6
20	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Skövde AIK	4	2	0	2	+1	6
22	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
23	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-3	6
24	IFK Luleå	5	2	0	3	-3	6
25	Oskarshamns AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	6
26	Onsala	5	2	0	3	-6	6
27	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	+1	4
28	Utsikten	4	1	1	2	-2	4
29	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-2	4
30	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
31	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
32	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
33	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Brommapojkarna	4	1	0	3	-1	3
44	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
54	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
55	Jonkopings Sodra	4	1	0	3	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	IFK Luleå	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
10	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
27	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
28	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
29	Onsala	3	1	0	2	-6	3
30	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
36	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
48	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Landskrona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Orebro SK	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Helsingborg	3	2	0	1	+8	6
6	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Degerfors	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
19	Norrby IF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Oskarshamns AIK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
43	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
44	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
45	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	IFK Luleå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.