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Pro League

Referee: A Boucaut

Genk

T S S U S

4–0

Full-time

St Truiden

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Pro League · 31/36 matches

Win Ø 40%

48%

31%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

61%

53%

Both score Ø 68%

77%

58%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 4. · St Truiden 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	30	21	5	4	+46	68
2	Antwerp	30	17	7	6	+17	58
3	Waregem	37	18	4	15	-2	58
4	Genk	31	15	10	6	+19	55
5	Beerschot VA	36	16	6	14	-2	54
6	Mechelen	31	15	7	9	+7	52
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	36	14	10	12	+0	52
8	Gent	31	14	6	11	+18	48
9	Anderlecht	31	10	16	5	+14	46
10	Oostende	30	13	6	11	+5	45
11	Charleroi	37	11	12	14	-4	45
12	Eupen	37	10	15	12	-11	45
13	Cercle Brugge	37	14	2	21	-7	44
14	Standard	31	11	9	11	+4	42
15	St Truiden	36	11	9	16	-7	42
16	Kortrijk	35	12	6	17	-7	42
17	Mouscron	32	7	10	15	-19	31
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	32	7	10	15	-19	31
19	Waasland-Beveren	32	7	7	18	-26	28
20	Beveren	32	7	7	18	-26	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	16	9	5	2	+10	32
2	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+18	31
3	Genk	15	8	6	1	+17	30
4	Beerschot VA	18	8	5	5	+5	29
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	9	2	6	+4	29
6	Anderlecht	16	6	9	1	+11	27
7	Oostende	15	8	3	4	+10	27
8	Waregem	18	8	2	8	-6	26
9	Gent	16	7	3	6	+12	24
10	Eupen	19	5	8	6	-6	23
11	Mechelen	16	6	4	6	+4	22
12	Charleroi	18	5	7	6	+1	22
13	Cercle Brugge	19	7	1	11	+0	22
14	St Truiden	18	6	4	8	-1	22
15	Standard	15	5	6	4	+2	21
16	Kortrijk	18	6	2	10	-7	20
17	Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
19	Waasland-Beveren	16	3	2	11	-18	11
20	Beveren	16	3	2	11	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+28	37
2	Waregem	19	10	2	7	+4	32
3	Mechelen	15	9	3	3	+3	30
4	Antwerp	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Genk	16	7	4	5	+2	25
6	Beerschot VA	18	8	1	9	-7	25
7	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	19	5	8	6	-4	23
9	Charleroi	19	6	5	8	-5	23
10	Kortrijk	17	6	4	7	+0	22
11	Eupen	18	5	7	6	-5	22
12	Cercle Brugge	18	7	1	10	-7	22
13	Standard	16	6	3	7	+2	21
14	St Truiden	18	5	5	8	-6	20
15	Anderlecht	15	4	7	4	+3	19
16	Oostende	15	5	3	7	-5	18
17	Waasland-Beveren	16	4	5	7	-8	17
18	Beveren	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Mouscron	16	3	5	8	-15	14
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	3	5	8	-15	14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.