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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Eupen
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Genk
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 24/20 matches
Win Ø 60%
29%
90%
Points per game
1,0
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
58%
70%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 16. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 20 18 1 1 +41 55
2 St. Gilloise 20 16 3 1 +24 51
3 Antwerp 20 14 3 3 +22 45
4 Club Brugge 20 11 5 4 +16 38
5 Gent 19 11 3 5 +17 36
6 St Truiden 24 9 8 7 +0 35
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 9 7 8 +8 34
8 Anderlecht 24 10 4 10 +7 34
9 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
10 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
11 Charleroi 23 9 3 11 -6 30
12 Kortrijk 25 8 4 13 -16 28
13 Westerlo 20 7 5 8 +1 26
14 Mechelen 23 7 4 12 -11 25
15 Waregem 24 6 5 13 -16 23
16 Eupen 24 7 2 15 -19 23
17 Oostende 25 5 4 16 -27 19
18 Seraing 23 4 3 16 -23 15
19 Seraing United 23 4 3 16 -23 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Genk
17′
J. Paintsil 0–1
B. Heynen
22′
🟨 Mbwana Ally Samatta
Smail Prevljak ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
24′
25′
🟨 Aziz Ouattara Mohammed
1–1 S. Peeters
26′
Stef Peeters 🟨
31′
Smail Prevljak 🟨
36′
Teddy Alloh 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
Boris Lambert 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
R. Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ T. Alloh
46′
Gary Magnee 🟨
55′
I. Christie-Davies 🔁
↦ J. Déom
60′
61′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
Boris Lambert ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
79′
🔁 A. Ait El Hadj
↦ B. El Khannouss
79′
🔁 Y. Sor
↦ M. Samatta
D. Gassama 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
80′
I. Diakité 🔁
↦ G. Magnée
80′
M. Wakaso 🔁
↦ N. Bitumazala
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Moser G
2 Y. Van Genechten D
35 B. Lambert D
28 R. Paeshuyse D
29 T. Alloh D
15 G. Magnée M
8 S. Peeters M
11 K. N’Dri M
14 J. Déom M
17 N. Bitumazala M
9 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
10 R. Charles-Cook
23 I. Christie-Davies
25 D. Gassama
27 I. Diakité
24 M. Wakaso
7 I. Nuhu
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: E. Still

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
4 A. Ouattara D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
7 M. Samatta F
Bench (7)
19 A. Ait El Hadj
14 Y. Sor
22 R. Carstensen
40 T. Leysen
27 M. Didden
77 A. Preciado
10 N. Castro

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,38
U ✓
4,31
B
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.