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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Leganes
U S T U U
0–1
Full-time
Ibiza
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ibiza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 24%
34%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 9. · Ibiza 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 30 15 12 3 +20 57
2 Eibar 30 16 8 6 +10 56
3 Granada 30 16 6 8 +19 54
4 Levante 30 14 12 4 +13 54
5 Alaves 29 15 8 6 +14 53
6 Albacete 29 12 11 6 +6 47
7 Burgos 30 11 12 7 +6 45
8 Cartagena 29 11 8 10 +3 41
9 Leganes 29 10 10 9 +2 40
10 Huesca 30 9 13 8 +2 40
11 Mirandes 30 9 10 11 -3 37
12 Tenerife 30 9 10 11 -3 37
13 Villarreal B 29 10 7 12 -6 37
14 Andorra 30 10 6 14 +1 36
15 Sp Gijon 29 8 12 9 -2 36
16 Oviedo 30 9 8 13 -6 35
17 Zaragoza 29 8 10 11 -6 34
18 Santander 29 8 9 12 -4 33
19 Ponferradina 29 6 11 12 -11 29
20 Malaga 29 5 10 14 -10 25
21 Lugo 29 5 7 17 -21 22
22 Ibiza 29 4 8 17 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Ibiza
Jorge Sáenz 🟨
17′
43′
🟨 Martín Pascual
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Ekain Zenitagoia
Juan Muñoz 🔁
↦ J. Narváez
55′
64′
M. Bogusz 0–1
Ekain Zenitagoia
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ Iker Undabarrena
67′
S. Cissé 🔁
↦ A. Nyom
67′
69′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
70′
🔁 Iván Morante
↦ P. Diop
76′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ M. Bogusz
Y. Qasmi 🔁
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
80′
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ G. Shibasaki
80′
87′
🔁 Kaxe
↦ Ekain Zenitagoia
88′
🟨 Javier Serrano
88′
🔁 Fran Grima
↦ Coke
94′
🟨 Cristian Herrera
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Leganes

3-5-2
13 Asier Riesgo G
2 A. Nyom D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
21 Miramón M
17 Dani Raba M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
8 G. Shibasaki M
15 Enric Franquesa M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
7 J. Narváez F
Bench (11)
11 Juan Muñoz
14 Fede Vico
32 S. Cissé
9 Y. Qasmi
18 Rubén Pardo
16 Y. Neyou
5 Josema Sánchez
25 Belman
4 K. Omeruo
24 P. Parzyszek
1 Dani Jiménez

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Ibiza

4-4-2
13 Daniel Fuzato G
30 Joseda D
3 Martín Pascual D
6 F. Grillo D
24 G. Escobar D
23 Coke M
5 P. Diop M
4 Javi Serrano M
7 Cristian Herrera M
10 Ekain Zenitagoia F
8 M. Bogusz F
Bench (9)
14 Iván Morante
20 K. Appin
16 Kaxe
2 Fran Grima
19 L. Juliš
21 W. Alarcón
15 Juan Fernández
1 Germán Parreño
26 Jorge Chanza

Coach: Lucas Alcaraz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,24
B ✓
5,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,69
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.