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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Sion
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
23%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 64%
55%
73%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sion 10. · Lugano 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 23 13 9 1 +35 48
2 Servette 22 8 10 4 +0 34
3 St. Gallen 23 9 6 8 +11 33
4 Basel 23 7 9 7 +5 30
5 Luzern 23 7 9 7 +1 30
6 Lugano 22 8 6 8 +0 30
7 Grasshoppers 23 6 7 10 -5 25
8 Zurich 22 5 9 8 -11 24
9 Winterthur 23 5 8 10 -22 23
10 Sion 22 5 7 10 -14 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Lugano
34′
O. Doumbia 0–1
M. Valenzuela
44′
🟨 Renato Steffen
Half-time 0–1
I. Chouaref 🔁
↦ Itaitinga
46′
D. Poha 🔁
↦ W. Cyprien
46′
G. Sio 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
46′
50′
🟨 Kreshnik Hajrizi
Denis Will Poha 🟨
58′
L. Zuffi 🔁
↦ A. Grgić
61′
61′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ J. Espinoza
1–1 G. Sio
R. Ziegler
66′
70′
🟨 Milton Valenzuela
73′
🔁 I. Aliseda
↦ U. Bislimi
73′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ M. Amoura
Ylyas Chouaref 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 L. Mai
↦ K. Hajrizi
K. Bua 🔁
↦ K. Halabaku
83′
87′
ℹ️ Ignacio Aliseda
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sion

4-3-3
1 H. Lindner G
19 N. Lavanchy D
39 N. Saintini D
3 R. Ziegler D
21 D. Iapichino D
14 A. Grgić M
10 W. Cyprien M
20 M. Araz M
76 Itaitinga F
45 M. Balotelli F
29 K. Halabaku F
Bench (9)
9 I. Chouaref
22 D. Poha
13 G. Sio
7 L. Zuffi
33 K. Bua
8 Baltazar Costa
18 K. Fickentscher
2 J. Schmied
11 G. Karlen

Coach: C. Constantin

Lugano

3-4-3
1 A. Saipi G
4 K. Hajrizi D
30 F. Daprelà D
5 A. Hajdari D
6 J. Espinoza M
20 O. Doumbia M
14 J. Sabbatini M
23 M. Valenzuela M
25 U. Bislimi F
47 M. Amoura F
11 R. Steffen F
Bench (8)
77 R. Macek
31 I. Aliseda
27 B. Babic
15 L. Mai
10 M. Bottani
7 M. Facchinetti
24 C. Nkama
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.