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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
St Truiden
T T U T U
2–1
Full-time
Mechelen
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 33/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
24%
48%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
48%
72%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
69%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
5 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 16. · Mechelen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +45 65
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 35 17 4 14 -1 55
4 Genk 30 14 10 6 +18 52
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 14 10 10 +4 52
6 Beerschot VA 34 15 6 13 -2 51
7 Mechelen 29 14 7 8 +6 49
8 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
9 Gent 30 13 6 11 +14 45
10 Oostende 30 13 6 11 +5 45
11 Eupen 35 10 15 10 -6 45
12 Charleroi 33 11 10 12 +1 43
13 Kortrijk 34 12 6 16 -6 42
14 Standard 30 10 9 11 +0 39
15 Cercle Brugge 35 12 2 21 -11 38
16 St Truiden 33 8 9 16 -12 33
17 Mouscron 31 7 9 15 -19 30
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 31 7 9 15 -19 30
19 Waasland-Beveren 31 7 7 17 -24 28
20 Beveren 31 7 7 17 -24 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Mechelen
1–0 Y. Suzuki
D. Hashioka
11′
41′
🟨 Sandy Walsh
2–0 I. Mboyo
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 I. Kaboré
↦ V. Wernersson
46′
🔁 N. Storm
↦ G. Hairemans
65′
🟨 Issa Kabore
71′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ S. Defour
M. Konaté 🔁
↦ C. Brüls
81′
S. Van Dessel 🔁
↦ F. Colidio
87′
90′
I. de Camargo 2–1
A. Vranckx
O. Filippov 🔁
↦ I. Mboyo
92′
W. Janssens 🔁
↦ S. De Ridder
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-1-4-1
21 D. Schmidt G
39 Jonathan Buatu D
40 J. Pius D
27 D. Lavalée M
13 L. Cacace D
4 D. Hashioka D
44 C. Brüls M
16 S. De Ridder M
7 I. Mboyo M
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio M
Bench (7)
24 M. Konaté
19 S. Van Dessel
11 O. Filippov
22 W. Janssens
90 D. Nazon
2 K. Matsubara
1 K. Steppe

Coach: P. Maes

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen G
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
26 V. Wernersson D
88 S. Defour M
7 G. Hairemans F
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
19 K. Mrabti F
9 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
29 I. Kaboré
11 N. Storm
10 I. de Camargo
1 G. Coucke
8 O. Kaya
4 S. Bateau
14 S. Voet

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,80
U
3,45
B
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.