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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Genk
S U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 28/33 matches
Win Ø 41%
46%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
61%
58%
Both score Ø 66%
79%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genk 6. · Cercle Brugge 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 19 4 4 +41 61
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 34 17 4 13 +2 55
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 33 14 9 10 +4 51
5 Beerschot VA 34 15 6 13 -2 51
6 Genk 28 13 9 6 +16 48
7 Mechelen 28 14 6 8 +6 48
8 Anderlecht 30 9 16 5 +11 43
9 Gent 28 12 6 10 +17 42
10 Charleroi 32 11 9 12 +1 42
11 Kortrijk 33 12 6 15 -4 42
12 Eupen 34 9 15 10 -8 42
13 Oostende 26 11 6 9 +7 39
14 Standard 29 10 8 11 +0 38
15 Cercle Brugge 33 12 2 19 -8 38
16 St Truiden 33 8 9 16 -12 33
17 Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -18 30
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -18 30
19 Waasland-Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25
20 Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Cercle Brugge
1–0 P. Onuachu
T. Bongonda
9′
20′
🟨 Jean Marcelin
2–0 J. Ito
B. Heynen
24′
27′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Bryan Heynen 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
39′
🟥 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Musaba
↦ K. Denkey
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
66′
69′
🔁 K. Hoggas
↦ O. Deman
B. Toma 🔁
↦ K. Thorstvedt
79′
79′
🔁 D. Hotič
↦ I. Ugbo
79′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ J. Marcelin
87′
🟨 Strahinja Pavlović
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda F
7 J. Ito F
Bench (7)
9 C. Dessers
14 B. Toma
2 M. McKenzie
24 L. Oyen
21 J. Uronen
4 D. Wouters
1 D. Vuković

Coach: J. van den Brom

Cercle Brugge

3-5-2
1 T. Didillon G
3 D. Bates D
41 G. Biancone M
24 J. Marcelin D
15 S. Pavlović D
2 Vitinho M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
42 Leonardo Lopes M
23 O. Deman M
9 I. Ugbo F
12 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
11 A. Musaba
20 K. Hoggas
10 D. Hotič
14 C. Vanhoutte
8 R. Decostere
89 S. Bruzzese
25 A. Corryn

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,81
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.