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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Gent

S U U U S

4–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 32%

41%

23%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

56%

35%

Both score Ø 49%

52%

46%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 8. · Royal Excel Mouscron 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	25	17	4	4	+35	55
2	Antwerp	27	16	6	5	+17	54
3	Waregem	31	15	4	12	+3	49
4	Mechelen	27	14	5	8	+6	47
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	13	8	9	+5	47
6	Genk	25	12	9	4	+18	45
7	Beerschot VA	29	12	4	13	-5	40
8	Gent	27	11	6	10	+13	39
9	Anderlecht	27	8	15	4	+11	39
10	Charleroi	28	11	6	11	+2	39
11	Kortrijk	30	11	6	13	-3	39
12	Standard	25	10	8	7	+5	38
13	Eupen	29	8	13	8	-8	37
14	Oostende	24	10	5	9	+5	35
15	St Truiden	30	8	7	15	-10	31
16	Cercle Brugge	29	8	2	19	-14	26
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	26	6	8	12	-14	26
18	Mouscron	27	6	8	13	-18	26
19	Waasland-Beveren	26	5	6	15	-24	21
20	Beveren	26	5	6	15	-24	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	14	8	4	2	+8	28
2	Genk	12	7	5	0	+16	26
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	8	2	5	+3	26
4	Club Brugge	12	8	1	3	+12	25
5	Oostende	12	7	3	2	+12	24
6	Beerschot VA	15	7	3	5	+4	24
7	Anderlecht	13	5	8	0	+10	23
8	Standard	14	5	6	3	+4	21
9	Kortrijk	16	6	2	8	-5	20
10	Waregem	16	6	2	8	-8	20
11	St Truiden	16	5	4	7	+0	19
12	Mechelen	14	5	3	6	+2	18
13	Charleroi	13	5	3	5	+2	18
14	Eupen	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Gent	12	4	3	5	+7	15
16	Mouscron	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	5	5	-3	14
18	Cercle Brugge	15	3	1	11	-8	10
19	Waasland-Beveren	12	2	1	9	-16	7
20	Beveren	12	2	1	9	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+23	30
2	Waregem	15	9	2	4	+11	29
3	Mechelen	13	9	2	2	+4	29
4	Antwerp	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	5	6	4	+2	21
7	Charleroi	15	6	3	6	+0	21
8	Genk	13	5	4	4	+2	19
9	Kortrijk	14	5	4	5	+2	19
10	Eupen	14	4	7	3	-4	19
11	Standard	11	5	2	4	+1	17
12	Anderlecht	14	3	7	4	+1	16
13	Cercle Brugge	14	5	1	8	-6	16
14	Beerschot VA	14	5	1	8	-9	16
15	Waasland-Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
17	St Truiden	14	3	3	8	-10	12
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	3	7	-11	12
19	Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-15	12
20	Oostende	12	3	2	7	-7	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.