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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Royal Excel Mouscron

S U U T T

1–2

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 27/30 matches

Win Ø 26%

22%

30%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

37%

60%

Both score Ø 49%

44%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0 Shots 0

0 Shots on target 0

0 Blocked shots 0

7 Corners 5

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 17. · Cercle Brugge 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	25	17	4	4	+35	55
2	Antwerp	27	16	6	5	+17	54
3	Waregem	31	15	4	12	+3	49
4	Mechelen	27	14	5	8	+6	47
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	13	8	9	+5	47
6	Genk	26	12	9	5	+16	45
7	Gent	28	12	6	10	+17	42
8	Beerschot VA	29	12	4	13	-5	40
9	Anderlecht	27	8	15	4	+11	39
10	Oostende	26	11	6	9	+7	39
11	Charleroi	28	11	6	11	+2	39
12	Kortrijk	30	11	6	13	-3	39
13	Standard	25	10	8	7	+5	38
14	Eupen	32	8	14	10	-10	38
15	St Truiden	30	8	7	15	-10	31
16	Cercle Brugge	30	9	2	19	-13	29
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	6	8	13	-18	26
18	Mouscron	28	6	8	14	-19	26
19	Waasland-Beveren	27	6	6	15	-23	24
20	Beveren	27	6	6	15	-23	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	14	8	4	2	+8	28
2	Oostende	13	8	3	2	+14	27
3	Genk	12	7	5	0	+16	26
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	8	2	5	+3	26
5	Club Brugge	12	8	1	3	+12	25
6	Beerschot VA	15	7	3	5	+4	24
7	Anderlecht	13	5	8	0	+10	23
8	Standard	14	5	6	3	+4	21
9	Kortrijk	16	6	2	8	-5	20
10	Waregem	16	6	2	8	-8	20
11	St Truiden	16	5	4	7	+0	19
12	Eupen	16	4	7	5	-4	19
13	Gent	13	5	3	5	+11	18
14	Mechelen	14	5	3	6	+2	18
15	Charleroi	13	5	3	5	+2	18
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	Mouscron	14	3	5	6	-4	14
18	Cercle Brugge	15	3	1	11	-8	10
19	Waasland-Beveren	13	3	1	9	-15	10
20	Beveren	13	3	1	9	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+23	30
2	Waregem	15	9	2	4	+11	29
3	Mechelen	13	9	2	2	+4	29
4	Antwerp	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	5	6	4	+2	21
7	Charleroi	15	6	3	6	+0	21
8	Kortrijk	14	5	4	5	+2	19
9	Genk	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Cercle Brugge	15	6	1	8	-5	19
11	Eupen	16	4	7	5	-6	19
12	Standard	11	5	2	4	+1	17
13	Anderlecht	14	3	7	4	+1	16
14	Beerschot VA	14	5	1	8	-9	16
15	Waasland-Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
17	Oostende	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	St Truiden	14	3	3	8	-10	12
19	Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-15	12
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-15	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.