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Pro League

Referee: Wesley Alen

Gent

T S U S T

4–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 13/19 matches

Win Ø 50%

62%

37%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

77%

63%

Both score Ø 64%

69%

58%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%

19 Shots 13

11 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 5. · Cercle Brugge 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	19	8	7	4	+8	31
2	Charleroi	19	9	3	7	+6	30
3	Genk	13	8	4	1	+18	28
4	Antwerp	13	9	1	3	+9	28
5	Gent	13	8	2	3	+12	26
6	Cercle Brugge	19	7	4	8	-11	25
7	Club Brugge	13	7	3	3	+15	24
8	Anderlecht	13	7	3	3	+9	24
9	Kortrijk	19	6	6	7	-4	24
10	Standard	13	6	5	2	+11	23
11	Oostende	19	6	4	9	-14	22
12	Eupen	19	7	1	11	-15	22
13	Beveren	19	3	8	8	-5	17
14	Waregem	19	4	5	10	-13	17
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	19	3	5	11	-12	14
16	Lokeren	19	3	5	11	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	10	7	0	3	+6	21
2	St Truiden	9	5	4	0	+8	19
3	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	-1	19
4	Genk	8	5	2	1	+9	17
5	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+13	16
6	Gent	7	5	1	1	+8	16
7	Eupen	10	5	0	5	-3	15
8	Antwerp	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Oostende	9	4	1	4	-4	13
10	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+7	12
11	Waregem	9	3	3	3	+2	12
12	Lokeren	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Standard	5	3	2	0	+7	11
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Kortrijk	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	Beveren	9	1	5	3	-2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Kortrijk	10	4	3	3	+1	15
3	Standard	8	3	3	2	+4	12
4	Anderlecht	7	4	0	3	+2	12
5	St Truiden	10	3	3	4	+0	12
6	Genk	5	3	2	0	+9	11
7	Gent	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Charleroi	9	2	3	4	+0	9
9	Beveren	10	2	3	5	-3	9
10	Oostende	10	2	3	5	-10	9
11	Club Brugge	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Eupen	9	2	1	6	-12	7
13	Cercle Brugge	9	1	3	5	-10	6
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	1	2	7	-9	5
15	Waregem	10	1	2	7	-15	5
16	Lokeren	9	0	2	7	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.