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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Gent
T U S U U
2–2
Full-time
Eupen
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 25/28 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
52%
64%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 13. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 17 4 4 +35 55
2 Antwerp 26 16 5 5 +17 53
3 Waregem 30 14 4 12 +2 46
4 Genk 25 12 9 4 +18 45
5 Mechelen 26 13 5 8 +5 44
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 29 12 8 9 +3 44
7 Beerschot VA 28 12 4 12 -4 40
8 Charleroi 28 11 6 11 +2 39
9 Kortrijk 29 11 6 12 -1 39
10 Anderlecht 26 8 14 4 +11 38
11 Standard 24 10 7 7 +5 37
12 Eupen 28 8 12 8 -8 36
13 Gent 25 10 5 10 +9 35
14 Oostende 24 10 5 9 +5 35
15 St Truiden 29 8 7 14 -9 31
16 Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
18 Cercle Brugge 28 8 1 19 -14 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 6 15 -24 21
20 Beveren 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Eupen
7′
S. Prevljak 0–1
A. Baby
1–1 T. Tissoudali
R. Bezus
27′
2–1 T. Tissoudali
R. Bezus
30′
Dino Arslanagić 🟨
40′
Half-time 2–1
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
63′
64′
S. Prevljak 2–2
65′
🔁 Jordi Amat
↦ A. Baby
66′
🔁 K. N’Dri
↦ Adriano
75′
🔁 M. Koch
↦ S. Miangué
76′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ A. Boljević
O. Bukari 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
83′
M. Mohammadi 🔁
↦ Núrio Fortuna
83′
M. Samoise 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
83′
88′
🔁 A. Beck
↦ S. Prevljak
Roman Yaremchuk 🟨
90′
Niklas Dorsch 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jonathan Heris
90′
🟨 Stef Peeters
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
36 D. Arslanagić D
31 B. Godeau D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus F
30 N. Dorsch M
34 T. Tissoudali F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
20 O. Bukari
15 M. Mohammadi
19 M. Samoise
18 D. Mbayo
6 E. Owusu
11 A. Niangbo
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Eupen

4-3-3
31 T. Defourny G
21 Adriano D
28 J. Heris D
23 S. Miangué D
22 E. Agbadou D
26 J. Cools M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
11 A. Baby F
18 A. Boljević F
9 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
5 Jordi Amat
34 K. N’Dri
3 M. Koch
7 J. Ngoy
32 A. Beck
30 R. Himmelmann
77 M. Koné

Coach: Beñat San José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
4,02
B
4,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.