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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Cercle Brugge
T T S S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-2,0
This season — Pro League · 14/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
64%
30%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,6
0,4
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4 Corners 5
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 9. · Royal Excel Mouscron 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 8 5 1 +13 29
2 Beerschot VA 14 9 1 4 +5 28
3 Charleroi 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +17 23
5 Antwerp 13 6 5 2 +7 23
6 Standard 13 6 5 2 +5 23
7 Anderlecht 13 5 7 1 +9 22
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 4 3 +2 22
9 Cercle Brugge 14 7 0 7 +2 21
10 Gent 14 6 1 7 +4 19
11 Kortrijk 15 5 4 6 -1 19
12 Eupen 14 3 8 3 -4 17
13 Waregem 15 5 2 8 -8 17
14 Oostende 13 4 4 5 +3 16
15 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 -2 15
16 St Truiden 12 2 4 6 -9 10
17 Waasland-Beveren 12 2 2 8 -13 8
18 Beveren 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Mouscron 11 1 3 7 -13 6
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 0 3 7 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
20′
🟨 Eric Bocat
Vitinho 🟨
25′
Giulian Biancone 🟨
27′
30′
🟨 Jean Emile Junior Onana
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Musaba
K. Hoggas
64′
70′
🔁 C. Brym
↦ Bruno Xadas
78′
🔁 I. Faraj
↦ F. Olinga
J. Omolo 🔁
↦ F. Kanoute
81′
81′
M. Silvestre 1–1
J. Onana
Leonardo da Silva Lopes 🟨
86′
87′
H. Gnohéré 1–2
T. Somers 🔁
↦ Leonardo Lopes
88′
89′
🔁 D. Hočko
↦ H. Gnohéré
Kevin Hoggas 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
1 T. Didillon G
4 J. Taravel D
41 G. Biancone D
24 J. Marcelin D
2 Vitinho D
20 K. Hoggas M
42 Leonardo Lopes M
98 F. Kanoute M
10 D. Hotič F
9 I. Ugbo F
11 A. Musaba F
Bench (7)
15 J. Omolo
34 T. Somers
8 R. Decostere
25 A. Corryn
18 M. Goblet
14 C. Vanhoutte
3 D. Bates

Coach: P. Clement

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-1-2
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 A. Ciranni D
22 E. Bocat D
5 S. Agouzoul D
10 M. Bakić M
7 F. Olinga F
23 Bruno Xadas M
8 J. Onana M
31 H. Gnohéré F
20 Nuno da Costa F
Bench (7)
25 C. Brym
14 I. Faraj
6 D. Hočko
30 B. Van Durmen
18 R. Quirynen
21 N. Gillekens
29 B. Badibanga

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.