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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Gent
S S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Genk
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 78%
67%
89%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 15. · Genk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 11 5 6 0 +10 21
2 Antwerp 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Standard 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Beerschot VA 11 7 0 4 +2 21
6 Charleroi 10 6 2 2 +8 20
7 Kortrijk 12 5 2 5 +0 17
8 Club Brugge 9 5 1 3 +14 16
9 Oostende 9 4 3 2 +9 15
10 Cercle Brugge 9 5 0 4 +4 15
11 Genk 9 3 5 1 +1 14
12 Eupen 10 3 5 2 +0 14
13 Waregem 12 4 1 7 -9 13
14 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Gent 9 3 0 6 -2 9
16 St Truiden 10 2 3 5 -8 9
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Genk
T. Kleindienst 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
18′
1–0 A. Castro-Montes
24′
40′
T. Bongonda 1–1
P. Hrošovský
Half-time 1–1
52′
🔁 D. Wouters
↦ B. Toma
58′
🟨 Daniel Muñoz
O. Bukari 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
62′
65′
🟨 Jere Uronen
72′
🔁 E. Kouassi
↦ K. Thorstvedt
Tim Kleindienst 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ P. Onuachu
V. Odjidja-Ofoe 🔁
↦ S. Kums
79′
84′
P. Hrošovský 1–2
C. Dessers
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-1-3-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
30 N. Dorsch M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
34 T. Kleindienst
20 O. Bukari
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
33 D. Roef
32 I. Plastun
17 J. Botaka
22 S. Marreh

Coach: W. De Decker

Genk

3-4-3
1 D. Vuković G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
11 B. Toma M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
4 D. Wouters
38 E. Kouassi
9 C. Dessers
26 M. Vandevoordt
80 P. Dwomoh
5 G. Arteaga
24 L. Oyen

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U
3,63
B ✓
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.