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Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Cercle Brugge

T S U U T

1–2

Full-time

Genk

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

15%

40%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 63%

65%

60%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

2,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

16 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 3

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 16. · Genk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	19	15	3	1	+34	48
2	Antwerp	21	12	4	5	+18	40
3	Charleroi	19	12	4	3	+17	40
4	Standard	19	12	3	4	+21	39
5	Gent	19	10	5	4	+16	35
6	Waregem	19	9	5	5	+8	32
7	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+3	32
8	Genk	20	8	5	7	+4	29
9	Anderlecht	19	5	8	6	+0	23
10	St Truiden	19	6	5	8	-11	23
11	Mouscron	17	5	7	5	+1	22
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	17	5	7	5	+1	22
13	Eupen	19	4	5	10	-17	17
14	Kortrijk	20	4	4	12	-11	16
15	Oostende	19	4	4	11	-15	16
16	Cercle Brugge	20	3	4	13	-23	13
17	Waasland-Beveren	18	2	5	11	-23	11
18	Beveren	18	2	5	11	-23	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	11	9	1	1	+19	28
2	Gent	9	8	1	0	+19	25
3	Antwerp	9	8	1	0	+15	25
4	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+18	24
5	Charleroi	10	7	1	2	+5	22
6	Genk	10	6	1	3	+2	19
7	Waregem	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Mouscron	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	4	3	1	+6	15
10	Anderlecht	10	3	5	2	+3	14
11	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Oostende	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Kortrijk	10	3	2	5	+0	11
14	St Truiden	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Cercle Brugge	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Eupen	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5
18	Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Mechelen	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	Charleroi	9	5	3	1	+12	18
4	Waregem	10	4	4	2	+0	16
5	Antwerp	12	4	3	5	+3	15
6	St Truiden	9	4	0	5	-9	12
7	Standard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Genk	10	2	4	4	+2	10
9	Gent	10	2	4	4	-3	10
10	Eupen	10	3	1	6	-11	10
11	Anderlecht	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Mouscron	9	1	4	4	-5	7
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	1	4	4	-5	7
14	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	3	5	-8	6
15	Beveren	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Kortrijk	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	Oostende	9	1	1	7	-12	4
18	Cercle Brugge	10	0	2	8	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.