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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Genk
U U U S S
4–0
Full-time
Eupen
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 75%
90%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 7. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 11 5 6 0 +10 21
2 Antwerp 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Standard 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Beerschot VA 11 7 0 4 +2 21
6 Charleroi 10 6 2 2 +8 20
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 +2 17
8 Kortrijk 12 5 2 5 +0 17
9 Club Brugge 9 5 1 3 +14 16
10 Oostende 9 4 3 2 +9 15
11 Cercle Brugge 9 5 0 4 +4 15
12 Eupen 10 3 5 2 +0 14
13 Waregem 12 4 1 7 -9 13
14 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Gent 10 3 0 7 -3 9
16 St Truiden 10 2 3 5 -8 9
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Eupen
1–0 P. Onuachu
5′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 C. Dessers
P. Onuachu
47′
58′
🔁 S. Prevljak
↦ J. Heris
K. Thorstvedt 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
61′
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ P. Hrošovský
68′
70′
🟨 Konan N'Dri
71′
🔁 M. Koné
↦ K. Musona
3–0 T. Bongonda
D. Wouters
74′
J. Ito 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
75′
Dries Wouters 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 N. Schouterden
↦ Adriano
4–0 T. Bongonda
82′
90′
🟨 Edo Kayembe
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Genk

3-4-3
1 D. Vuković G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
4 D. Wouters M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
9 C. Dessers F
Bench (7)
42 K. Thorstvedt
8 B. Heynen
7 J. Ito
5 G. Arteaga
26 M. Vandevoordt
38 E. Kouassi
24 L. Oyen

Coach: J. Thorup

Eupen

3-4-1-2
1 O. De Wolf G
21 Adriano D
6 B. Poulain D
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
10 K. Musona F
7 J. Ngoy F
34 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
9 S. Prevljak
77 M. Koné
18 N. Schouterden
11 A. Baby
29 I. Nuhu
31 T. Defourny
17 Carlos Embalo

Coach: Beñat San José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,75
B
3,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.