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Pro League

Referee: Delferiere

Mechelen

S S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Genk

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 44%

43%

45%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

43%

55%

Both score Ø 44%

43%

45%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 5. · Genk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	17	12	3	2	+16	39
2	Club Brugge	16	12	2	2	+27	38
3	Anderlecht	15	11	2	2	+26	35
4	Standard	23	9	8	6	+12	35
5	Mechelen	23	10	5	8	+3	35
6	Genk	22	10	4	8	-1	34
7	Oostende	15	9	2	4	+13	29
8	Gent	15	8	3	4	+8	27
9	Kortrijk	24	7	6	11	-14	27
10	Charleroi	15	7	5	3	+4	26
11	St Truiden	24	7	5	12	-6	26
12	Lokeren	24	6	7	11	-7	25
13	Eupen	23	5	6	12	-19	21
14	Beveren	23	4	8	11	-14	20
15	Westerlo	24	4	7	13	-23	19
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	23	4	3	16	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	12	8	2	2	+9	26
2	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
3	Standard	11	7	2	2	+14	23
4	St Truiden	13	6	4	3	+7	22
5	Mechelen	12	7	1	4	+6	22
6	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
7	Waregem	8	6	2	0	+9	20
8	Anderlecht	7	6	0	1	+19	18
9	Kortrijk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Oostende	8	5	2	1	+13	17
11	Beveren	12	4	5	3	+2	17
12	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+4	16
13	Lokeren	11	4	4	3	+1	16
14	Eupen	12	3	5	4	-5	14
15	Westerlo	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+10	15
4	Mechelen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
5	Oostende	7	4	0	3	+0	12
6	Standard	12	2	6	4	-2	12
7	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Westerlo	13	2	4	7	-18	10
9	Lokeren	13	2	3	8	-8	9
10	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-17	9
11	Genk	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	2	1	9	-12	7
13	Eupen	11	2	1	8	-14	7
14	Gent	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	St Truiden	11	1	1	9	-13	4
16	Beveren	11	0	3	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.