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Pro League
Referee: Jasper Vergoote
Mechelen
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Eupen
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 41%
50%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
75%
44%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 6. · Eupen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 32 24 7 1 +48 79
2 Gent 31 18 7 6 +31 61
3 Charleroi 32 17 10 5 +30 61
4 Antwerp 31 16 8 7 +21 56
5 Standard 32 16 7 9 +19 55
6 Mechelen 32 16 5 11 +10 53
7 Genk 32 15 6 11 +9 51
8 Anderlecht 32 12 12 8 +13 48
9 Waregem 32 12 7 13 +4 43
10 Mouscron 29 9 9 11 -2 36
11 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -7 36
12 St Truiden 32 10 6 16 -17 36
13 Eupen 32 10 6 16 -23 36
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 9 11 -3 33
15 Cercle Brugge 32 9 4 19 -24 31
16 Oostende 32 6 5 21 -32 23
17 Beveren 28 5 5 18 -38 20
18 Waasland-Beveren 29 5 5 19 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Eupen
22′
🟨 Olivier Verdon
27′
🟨 Siebe Blondelle
1–0 I. de Camargo
I. Kabore
40′
Half-time 1–1
54′
S. Prevljak 1–1
S. Ezatolahi
D. Vanzeir 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
66′
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
75′
78′
🔁 M. Koch
↦ S. Ezatolahi
W. Togui 🔁
↦ N. Storm
80′
80′
🔁 K. Jocelyn
↦ K. Musona
85′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ D. Miličević
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
5 A. Swinkels D
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
29 I. Kabore D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
31 D. Vanzeir
8 O. Kaya
9 W. Togui
21 C. Tainmont
2 J. Van Cleemput
12 S. Bouzian
22 A. Corryn

Coach: W. Vrancken

Eupen

5-3-2
1 O. De Wolf G
32 A. Beck D
22 S. Blondelle D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 O. Verdon D
77 D. Miličević M
18 N. Schouterden M
26 J. Cools M
66 S. Ezatolahi M
20 K. Musona F
7 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
3 M. Koch
34 K. Jocelyn
21 Jon Bautista
24 S. Gnaka
35 L. Boris
30 R. Matthys
25 E. Sowah Adjei

Coach: Beñat San José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U ✓
4,22
B
6,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jasper Vergoote · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.