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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Genoa
S S T T S
4–1
Full-time
Crotone
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
7 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Apr -18 Genoa – Crotone 1–0 19. Nov -17 Crotone – Genoa 0–1 22. Jan -17 Genoa – Crotone 2–2 28. Aug -16 Crotone – Genoa 1–3

Match report

Genoa Crotone
1–0 M. Destro ⚽
P. Ghiglione
6′
2–0 G. Pandev ⚽
E. Goldaniga
9′
28′
⚽ E. Rivière 2–1
S. Molina
29′
🟨 Salvatore Molina
32′
🟨 Antonio Mazzotta
3–1 D. Zappacosta ⚽
M. Badelj
34′
Davide Zappacosta 🟨
37′
Miha Zajc 🟨
41′
Goran Pandev 🟨
44′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 A. Rispoli
↦ A. Mazzotta
58′
🔁 Eduardo Henrique
↦ N. Zanellato
58′
🔁 A. Kargbo
↦ E. Rivière
I. Radovanović 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
68′
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ G. Pandev
68′
Paolo Ghiglione 🟨
70′
4–1 M. Pjaca ⚽
P. Ghiglione
75′
L. Czyborra 🔁
↦ D. Zappacosta
76′
V. Behrami 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
76′
F. Melegoni 🔁
↦ L. Lerager
86′
86′
🔁 T. Gomelt
↦ L. Cigarini
89′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ S. Nwankwo
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
1 M. Perin G
2 C. Zapata D
77 D. Zappacosta M
14 D. Biraschi D
5 E. Goldaniga D
18 P. Ghiglione M
47 M. Badelj M
16 M. Zajc M
8 L. Lerager M
19 G. Pandev F
23 M. Destro F
Bench (12)
21 I. Radovanović
37 M. Pjaca
99 L. Czyborra
11 V. Behrami
24 F. Melegoni
32 P. Ankersen
38 L. Zima
17 P. Brlek
22 F. Marchetti
20 L. Schöne
28 Raúl Asencio
65 N. Rovella

Coach: R. Maran

Crotone

3-4-1-2
1 A. Cordaz G
23 A. Mazzotta M
34 L. Marrone D
6 L. Magallán D
5 V. Golemić D
8 L. Cigarini M
17 S. Molina M
21 N. Zanellato M
97 E. Rivière F
25 S. Nwankwo F
30 Junior Messias F
Bench (10)
33 A. Rispoli
95 Eduardo Henrique
24 A. Kargbo
19 T. Gomelt
11 D. Drăguş
14 G. Crociata
16 M. Festa
2 N. Spolli
22 G. Crespi
7 M. Mustacchio

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
🔒
U
3,59
🔒
B
4,03
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
U2,5
1,89
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.