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Pro League

Referee: F Geldhof

Beerschot VA

S S S T

5–2

Full-time

Genk

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beerschot VA Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — Pro League · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 54%

75%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

12 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Beerschot VA 8. · Genk 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Standard	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Kortrijk	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Waregem	7	4	0	3	+3	12
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Anderlecht	6	2	4	0	+4	10
7	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+8	9
8	Beerschot VA	4	3	0	1	+1	9
9	Antwerp	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Cercle Brugge	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Eupen	5	1	3	1	-3	6
13	Genk	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	St Truiden	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Waasland-Beveren	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Beveren	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Oostende	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Mouscron	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Gent	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	+2	7
3	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+4	6
4	Waregem	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Beerschot VA	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Oostende	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Waasland-Beveren	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Standard	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Kortrijk	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Beerschot VA	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Antwerp	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Cercle Brugge	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Waasland-Beveren	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Beveren	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Eupen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Oostende	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	St Truiden	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Gent	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.