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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Genk
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 5. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Waasland-Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Genk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Beerschot VA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Standard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Antwerp 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Anderlecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Eupen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Waregem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cercle Brugge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Kortrijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Dries Wouters 🟨
7′
Half-time 0–0
P. Onuachu 🔁
↦ M. Dæhli
46′
1–0 J. Ito
J. Mæhle
55′
59′
🟨 Pierre-Yves Ngawa
59′
🔁 Y. Aguemon
↦ D. Vekemans
E. Kouassi 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
62′
64′
🔁 Y. Croizet
↦ I. Asante
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
76′
85′
T. Henry 1–1
88′
🔁 O. Myny
↦ T. Vlietinck
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 D. Vuković G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle D
23 D. Muñoz D
20 M. Dæhli M
4 D. Wouters M
10 T. Bongonda M
9 C. Dessers F
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
18 P. Onuachu
38 E. Kouassi
14 B. Nygren
2 C. De Norre
24 L. Oyen
6 S. Dewaest
26 M. Vandevoordt

Coach: H. Wolf

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
21 D. Iversen G
23 S. Kotysch D
5 P. Ngawa D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
6 D. Hubert M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
14 K. Sowah M
20 I. Asante M
9 T. Henry F
32 D. Vekemans F
Bench (7)
7 Y. Aguemon
77 Y. Croizet
22 O. Myny
16 D. Keet
43 J. Perbet
8 T. Van Hyfte
28 T. Raemaekers

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,26
U ✓
5,75
B
10,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.