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Premier League

Referee: K Friend

Newcastle

T T U T S

0–3

Full-time

Brighton

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%

6 Shots 13

0 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Newcastle 7. · Brighton 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	+4	6
3	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	+3	6
4	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Tottenham	2	1	1	+2	3
6	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Newcastle	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
9	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Leeds	2	1	1	+0	3
11	Brighton	1	0	1	-2	0
12	Man United	1	0	1	-2	0
13	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
14	West Ham	2	0	2	-3	0
15	Fulham	2	0	2	-4	0
16	Southampton	2	0	2	-4	0
17	West Brom	2	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Brighton	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Man United	1	0	1	-2	0
9	West Ham	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Southampton	1	0	1	-3	0
12	Fulham	1	0	1	-3	0
13	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Everton	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Leeds	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Fulham	1	0	1	-1	0
11	West Ham	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Southampton	1	0	1	-1	0
13	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.