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Premier League

Referee: P Tierney

Chelsea

T S T S S

0–2

Full-time

Liverpool

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,8

4,7

Scored

2,0

2,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

7,0

Scored

3,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

5 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 11

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 6. · Liverpool 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	+4	6
3	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	+3	6
4	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Tottenham	2	1	1	+2	3
6	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Brighton	2	1	1	+1	3
10	Leeds	2	1	1	+0	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	1	-1	3
12	Man United	1	0	1	-2	0
13	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
14	West Ham	2	0	2	-3	0
15	Fulham	2	0	2	-4	0
16	Southampton	2	0	2	-4	0
17	West Brom	2	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Brighton	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Man United	1	0	1	-2	0
9	West Ham	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
11	Southampton	1	0	1	-3	0
12	Newcastle	1	0	1	-3	0
13	Fulham	1	0	1	-3	0
14	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
5	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Newcastle	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Leeds	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Fulham	1	0	1	-1	0
12	West Ham	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Southampton	1	0	1	-1	0
14	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.