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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Mechelen

T T S T U

3–2

Full-time

Genk

U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 16/10 matches

Win Ø 22%

13%

30%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

38%

40%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

60%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

38% Possession 62%

6 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Genk 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	10	0	1	+18	30
2	Anderlecht	12	9	2	1	+12	29
3	St Truiden	17	7	5	5	-2	26
4	Charleroi	12	7	4	1	+9	25
5	Antwerp	16	6	6	4	+2	24
6	Beveren	17	6	3	8	+1	21
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	17	5	5	7	-6	20
8	Oostende	17	5	4	8	-1	19
9	Waregem	16	6	1	9	-2	19
10	Gent	11	5	2	4	+8	17
11	Lokeren	17	4	5	8	-8	17
12	Kortrijk	17	4	5	8	-9	17
13	Standard	10	4	4	2	+2	16
14	Genk	10	3	6	1	+3	15
15	Mechelen	16	2	6	8	-9	12
16	Eupen	16	2	4	10	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	9	6	2	1	+5	20
2	Club Brugge	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Beveren	8	4	1	3	+6	13
4	Kortrijk	9	3	4	2	+3	13
5	Anderlecht	5	4	0	1	+7	12
6	Charleroi	6	3	3	0	+4	12
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Antwerp	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Standard	5	3	1	1	+1	10
10	Waregem	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Gent	5	3	0	2	+5	9
12	Mechelen	8	2	3	3	+0	9
13	Oostende	8	3	0	5	-2	9
14	Eupen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Genk	5	1	4	0	+1	7
16	Lokeren	9	1	3	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	7	5	2	0	+5	17
2	Antwerp	8	4	2	2	+0	14
3	Charleroi	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+6	12
5	Lokeren	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Oostende	9	2	4	3	+1	10
7	Waregem	8	3	0	5	+1	9
8	Gent	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	Genk	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Beveren	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Standard	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	St Truiden	8	1	3	4	-7	6
14	Kortrijk	8	1	1	6	-12	4
15	Mechelen	8	0	3	5	-9	3
16	Eupen	8	0	2	6	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.