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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Nantes

T T U S T

2–2

Full-time

St Etienne

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 15. · St Etienne 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	St Etienne	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Montpellier	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Lens	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Monaco	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Paris SG	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Marseille	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Brest	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Nice	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Angers	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+2	5
13	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Nimes	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Lorient	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Metz	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Reims	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Lens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Metz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Nice	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Brest	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Metz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.