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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Oostende
T T T U T
2–4
Full-time
Genk
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
19%
47%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
59%
66%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 16. · Genk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 32 24 7 1 +48 79
2 Gent 31 18 7 6 +31 61
3 Charleroi 32 17 10 5 +30 61
4 Antwerp 31 16 8 7 +21 56
5 Standard 32 16 7 9 +19 55
6 Mechelen 32 16 5 11 +10 53
7 Genk 32 15 6 11 +9 51
8 Anderlecht 32 12 12 8 +13 48
9 Waregem 32 12 7 13 +4 43
10 Mouscron 29 9 9 11 -2 36
11 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -7 36
12 St Truiden 32 10 6 16 -17 36
13 Eupen 32 10 6 16 -23 36
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 9 11 -3 33
15 Cercle Brugge 32 9 4 19 -24 31
16 Oostende 32 6 5 21 -32 23
17 Beveren 28 5 5 18 -38 20
18 Waasland-Beveren 29 5 5 19 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Genk
Louis Verstraete 🟨
24′
33′
🔁 Neto
↦ S. Dewaest
1–0 F. Sakala
A. Hjulsager
43′
Louis Verstraete 🟨
45′
Louis Verstraete 🟥
45′
45′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
Half-time 1–1
48′
P. Onuachu 1–1
59′
T. Bongonda 1–2
Neto
J. Akpala 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
62′
64′
🔁 P. Hrošovský
↦ K. Thorstvedt
66′
J. Ito 1–3
P. Hrošovský
70′
M. Dæhli 1–4
F. Marquet 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
72′
74′
🔁 B. Limbombe
↦ M. Dæhli
2–4 F. Marquet
76′
Renato Neto 🔁
↦ K. Vandendriessche
81′
Full-time 2–4

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,38
U
3,57
B ✓
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.