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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Genk
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Mechelen
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
2,8
Scored
4,0
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 10. · Mechelen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 4 0 0 +8 12
2 St Truiden 5 4 0 1 +2 12
3 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 3 1 1 +1 10
4 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +9 9
5 Charleroi 3 3 0 0 +5 9
6 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Kortrijk 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Lokeren 5 2 0 3 -3 6
9 Beveren 5 1 2 2 +1 5
10 Genk 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Anderlecht 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Mechelen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Eupen 5 1 0 4 -10 3
14 Gent 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Standard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Oostende 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Mechelen
Omar Colley 🟨
23′
32′
🟨 Zeljko Filipovic
1–0 Pozuelo
R. Malinovskiy
38′
Half-time 1–0
69′
🔁 A. Kawaya
↦ F. Rherras
69′
🔁 G. Claes
↦ Ž. Filipović
Marcus Ingvartsen 🟨
76′
79′
🔁 S. De Witte
↦ E. Cocalić
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
83′
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ R. Malinovskiy
87′
Thomas Buffel 🟨
90′
Thomas Buffel 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Glenn Claes
J. Aidoo 🔁
↦ Pozuelo
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genk

1 D. Vuković G
2 J. Brabec D
21 J. Uronen D
15 O. Colley D
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
27 Clinton Mata M
25 S. Berge M
22 S. Schrijvers F
9 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (8)
10 M. Samatta
28 B. Heynen
45 J. Aidoo
11 José Naranjo
29 M. Benson
30 N. Jackers
31 J. Mæhle
5 A. Khammas

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Mechelen

26 C. Coosemans G
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
63 F. Rherras D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
55 Ž. Filipović M
11 M. Rits M
18 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
99 S. Dražić F
Bench (9)
47 A. Kawaya
77 G. Claes
4 S. De Witte
27 B. Bandé
28 A. Swolfs
30 H. Smolders
32 J. De Schoemmaeker
34 M. Zeroual
56 J. Soladio

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.