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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Ajax

S T T S S

3–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%

23 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajax 8. · Waalwijk 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Twente	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Heracles	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	VVV Venlo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.